Soft computing based techniques for short-term load forecasting

Kontogiannis, V. and Anagnostakis, E.M. 2002. Soft computing based techniques for short-term load forecasting. Fuzzy Sets and Systems. 128 (3), pp. 413-426. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0165-0114(01)00076-8

TitleSoft computing based techniques for short-term load forecasting
AuthorsKontogiannis, V. and Anagnostakis, E.M.
Abstract

Neural networks are currently finding practical applications, ranging from 'soft' regulatory control in consumer products to accurate modelling of non-linear systems. This paper presents the development of improved neural networks based short-term electric load forecasting models for the power system of the Greek Island of Crete. Several approaches including radial basis function networks, dynamic neural networks have been considered. In addition, a novel approach, based on neural-fuzzy approach has been proposed and discussed in this paper. Their performances are evaluated through a simulation study, using metered data provided by the Greek Public Power Corporation. The results indicate that the load forecasting models developed provide more accurate forecasts compared to the conventional backpropagation network forecasting models. Finally, the embedding of the new model capability in a modular forecasting system is presented.

KeywordsShort-term load forecasting, Neural networks, Fuzzy-neural-type networks, Radial basis functions, Dynamic neural networks
JournalFuzzy Sets and Systems
Journal citation128 (3), pp. 413-426
ISSN0165-0114
Year16 Jun 2002
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)https://doi.org/10.1016/S0165-0114(01)00076-8
Publication dates
Published16 Jun 2002

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Kodogiannis, V. and Chowdrey, H.S. 2005. A neurofuzzy methodology for the diagnosis of wireless-capsule endoscopic images. in: Duch, W., Kacprzyk, J., Oja, E. and Zadrozny, S. (ed.) Artificial Neural Networks: Biological Inspirations ICANN 2005: 15th International Conference Warsaw, Poland, September 11-15, 2005 Proceedings, Part I Berlin, Germany Springer.

An intelligent system for diagnosis of capsule endoscopic images
Kodogiannis, V., Boulougoura, M. and Wadge, E. 2005. An intelligent system for diagnosis of capsule endoscopic images. in: Proceedings of the Second International Conference on Computational Intelligence in Medicine and Healthcare (CIMED 2005). 29th June - 1st July 2005, Lisbon, Portugal London, UK IEEE . pp. 340-347

Intelligent systems for the diagnosis of wireless-capsule endoscopic images
Kodogiannis, V., Boulougoura, M. and Wadge, E. 2005. Intelligent systems for the diagnosis of wireless-capsule endoscopic images. in: Proceedings of the 5th WSEAS International Conference on Simulation, Modelling and Optimization (SMO '05), Corfu Island, Greece, August 17-19, 2005 WSEAS.

Improved neural network-based interpretation of capsule endoscopic images
Kontogiannis, V., Boulougoura, M. and Wadge, E. 2005. Improved neural network-based interpretation of capsule endoscopic images. WSEAS Transactions on Systems. 4 (9), pp. 1499-1507.

Neural network-based approach for the classification of wireless-capsule endoscopic images
Kodogiannis, V. and Boulougoura, M. 2005. Neural network-based approach for the classification of wireless-capsule endoscopic images. in: 2005 IEEE International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN) USA IEEE .

Intelligent gas-sensing systems for bacterial clinical isolates in vitro classification
Kontogiannis, V. 2005. Intelligent gas-sensing systems for bacterial clinical isolates in vitro classification. Neural, Parallel and Scientific Computations. 13 (2), pp. 147-160.

Intelligent classification of bacterial clinical isolates in vitro, using an array of gas sensors
Kontogiannis, V. 2005. Intelligent classification of bacterial clinical isolates in vitro, using an array of gas sensors. Journal of Intelligent and Fuzzy Systems. 16 (1), pp. 1-14.

An automated anomaly EEG detection algorithm using discrete wavelet transforms
Jahankhani, P., Revett, K., Spackman, L., Kodogiannis, V. and Boyd, S. 2005. An automated anomaly EEG detection algorithm using discrete wavelet transforms. in: Prasad, B. (ed.) Proceedings of the 2nd Indian International Conference on Artificial Intelligence, Pune, India, December 20-22, 2005 (IICAI 05) IICAI. pp. 2679-2685

Detecting clinically relevant EEG anomalies using discrete wavelet transforms
Jahankhani, P., Revett, K. and Kodogiannis, V. 2005. Detecting clinically relevant EEG anomalies using discrete wavelet transforms. in: Proceedings of the 5th WSEAS International Conference on Wavelet Analysis and Multirate Systems (WAMUS 2005). Sofia, Bulgaria, 27 - 29 Oct 2005 WSEAS.

Automatic detection Of EEG abnormalities using wavelet transformations
Jahankhani, P., Revett, K. and Kontogiannis, V. 2005. Automatic detection Of EEG abnormalities using wavelet transformations. WSEAS Transactions on Signal Processing. 1 (1), pp. 55-60.

Representation of factual and temporal unawareness in electronic patient records
Chountas, P., Petrounias, I., El-Darzi, E. and Kontogiannis, V. 2005. Representation of factual and temporal unawareness in electronic patient records. Journal of Computational Methods in Sciences and Engineering. 5 (4), pp. 243-261.

On probability, null values, intuitionistic fuzzy, and value imperfection
Chountas, P., Kodogiannis, V., Petrounias, I., Kolev, B. and Atanassov, K.T. 2005. On probability, null values, intuitionistic fuzzy, and value imperfection. in: Simos, T.E. and Maroulis, G. (ed.) International Conference of Computational Methods in Sciences and Engineering 2004 (ICCMSE 2004) Leiden, The Netherlands VSP.

Intracorporeal videoprobe (IVP)
Arena, A., Boulougoura, M., Chowdrey, H.S., Dario, P., Harendt, C., Irion, K.M., Kodogiannis, V., Lenaerts, B., Menciassi, A., Puers, R., Scherjon, C. and Turgis, D. 2005. Intracorporeal videoprobe (IVP). in: Bos, L., Laxminarayan, S. and Marsh, A.J. (ed.) Medical and Care Compunetics Amsterdam, Netherlands ; Oxford, UK IOS Press.

Extended normalised radial basis function for short term load forecasting
Wadge, E. and Kodogiannis, V. 2004. Extended normalised radial basis function for short term load forecasting. in: Hamza, M.H. (ed.) Proceedings of the Fourth IASTED International Conference on Modelling, Simulation and Optimization (MSO 2004) International Association of Science and Technology for Development. pp. 154-159

Distimulus chromatic measurement systems
Tomtsis, D., Kontogiannis, V. and Chountas, P. 2004. Distimulus chromatic measurement systems. WSEAS Transactions on Circuits and Systems. 2 (3), pp. 211-214.

An intuitionistic fuzzy component based appoach for identifying web usage patterns
Petrounias, I., Tseng, A., Kolev, B., Chountas, P. and Kodogiannis, V. 2004. An intuitionistic fuzzy component based appoach for identifying web usage patterns. in: Yager, R.R. and Sgurev, V.S. (ed.) 2nd IEEE International Conference on Intelligent Systems, 22-24 Jun 2004, Varna, Bulgaria: proceedings USA IEEE .

Feature extraction techniques using adaptive wavelets for signal classification
Kontogiannis, V., Wadge, E., Boulougoura, M. and Christou, K. 2004. Feature extraction techniques using adaptive wavelets for signal classification. WSEAS Transactions on Circuits. 3 (1), pp. 149-154.

Intelligent control of unmanned underwater vehicles
Kontogiannis, V. and Petrounias, I. 2004. Intelligent control of unmanned underwater vehicles. WSEAS Transactions on Systems. 3 (4), pp. 1845-1853.

Multi network classification scheme for computer-aided diagnosis in clinical endoscopy
Kodogiannis, V. and Chowdrey, H.S. 2004. Multi network classification scheme for computer-aided diagnosis in clinical endoscopy. in: MEDSIP 2004: Advances in Medical Signal and Information Processing International Conference, 5-8 September 2004, Malta IEEE . pp. 262-267

Computer-aided diagnosis in clinical endoscopy using neuro-fuzzy systems
Kodogiannis, V. 2004. Computer-aided diagnosis in clinical endoscopy using neuro-fuzzy systems. in: Proceedings: 2004 IEEE International Conference on Fuzzy Systems. Budapest, Hungary, 25-29 July 2004 USA IEEE .

On uncertainty and data-warehouse design
Chountas, P., Petrounias, I., Vasilakis, C., Tseng, A., El-Darzi, E., Atanassov, K.T. and Kodogiannis, V. 2004. On uncertainty and data-warehouse design. in: Yakhno, T. (ed.) Advances in Information Systems: Third International Conference, ADVIS 2004, Izmir, Turkey, October 20-22, 2004: proceedings Berlin, Germany Springer.

Temporality and intuitionistic fuzzy data warehouses
Chountas, P., Petrounias, I., Vasilakis, C., El-Darzi, E., Tseng, A., Kolev, B., Kontogiannis, V. and Georgiev, P. 2004. Temporality and intuitionistic fuzzy data warehouses. Notes in Intuitionistic Fuzzy Sets. 10 (4), pp. 47-55.

Representing and querying temporal workflow schemas
Chountas, P., Petrounias, I., Al-Roki, H. and Kodogiannis, V. 2004. Representing and querying temporal workflow schemas. in: Haav, H.M. (ed.) Fifth International Baltic Workshop on Databases and Information Systems: databases and information systems Institute of Cybernetics at Tallinn Technical University. pp. 155-166

Development of a clinical data warehouse
Chountas, P. and Kodogiannis, V. 2004. Development of a clinical data warehouse. in: Desai, B.C. (ed.) IDEAS Workshop on Medical Information Systems: the digital hospital USA IEEE . pp. 8-14

Intelligent systems for computer-assisted clinical endoscopic image analysis
Boulougoura, M., Wadge, E., Kodogiannis, V. and Chowdrey, H.S. 2004. Intelligent systems for computer-assisted clinical endoscopic image analysis. in: Tilg, B. (ed.) Proceedings of the second IASTED international conference on biomedical engineering Anaheim, California, USA Acta Press.

Neuro-fuzzy ellipsoid basis function classifier for diagnosis of urinary tract infections
Wadge, E., Kodogiannis, V. and Tomtsis, D. 2003. Neuro-fuzzy ellipsoid basis function classifier for diagnosis of urinary tract infections. in: ICCMSE '03: Proceedings of the International Conference on Computational Methods in Sciences and Engineering New Jersey, USA World Scientific Publishing. pp. 673-677

Sniffing out the truth: clinical diagnosis based on soft computing methodologies using gas centre arrays
Wadge, E. and Kodogiannis, V. 2003. Sniffing out the truth: clinical diagnosis based on soft computing methodologies using gas centre arrays. in: Jervis, B.W. (ed.) Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Neural Networks and Expert Systems in Medicine and Healthcare and 1st International Conference on Computational Intelligence in Medicine and Healthcare : Sheffield Hallam University, Sheffield, UK, 21-23 Sheffield School of Engineering, Sheffield Hallam University. pp. 93-98

Optical pH measurement using chromatic modulation
Tomtsis, D., Kodogiannis, V. and Wadge, E. 2003. Optical pH measurement using chromatic modulation. in: Proceedings of the International Conference on Computational Methods in Sciences and Engineering New Jersey, USA World Scientific Publishing. pp. 634-638

Evolutionary computing techniques for diagnosis of urinary tract infections in vivo, using gas sensors
Kodogiannis, V., Pavlou, A.K., Chountas, P. and Turner, A.P.F. 2003. Evolutionary computing techniques for diagnosis of urinary tract infections in vivo, using gas sensors. in: Rutkowski, L. (ed.) Neural networks and soft computing: proceedings of the Sixth International Conference on Neural Networks and Soft Computing, Zakopane, Poland, June 11-15 Physica-Verlag.

Generalized net representing of fuzzy-timing high-level petri nets
Gochev, V. and Kodogiannis, V. 2003. Generalized net representing of fuzzy-timing high-level petri nets. in: Jardim-Goncalves, R., Cha, J. and Steiger-Garcao, A. (ed.) Concurrent engineering-the vision for the future generation in research and applications: proceedings of the 10th ISPE International Conference on Concurrent Engineering, Research and Applications, 26-30 July 2003, Madeira, Portugal Lisse, The Netherlands A.A. Balkema. pp. 1087-1090

Temporal modelling in flexible workflow based environments
Chountas, P., Petrounias, I. and Kodogiannis, V. 2003. Temporal modelling in flexible workflow based environments. in: Yazici, A. (ed.) Computer and information sciences, ISCIS 2003: 18th International Symposium Antalya, Turkey, November 3-5 Berlin, Germany Springer. pp. 123-130

Forecasting financial time series using neural network and fuzzy system-based techniques
Kontogiannis, V. and Lolis, A. 2002. Forecasting financial time series using neural network and fuzzy system-based techniques. Neural Computing and Applications. 11 (2), pp. 90-102. https://doi.org/10.1007/s005210200021

Digital image processing of axis-symmetric electric arc plasma based on chromatic modulation methods
Tomtsis, D. and Kodogiannis, V. 2002. Digital image processing of axis-symmetric electric arc plasma based on chromatic modulation methods. in: 6th WSES /IEEE Multi-conference CSCC-MCP-MCME 2002, Crete, July 2002 UNKNOWN. pp. 6881-6885

An intelligent detection scheme for sonar signal tracking
Kodogiannis, V. and Tomtsis, D. 2002. An intelligent detection scheme for sonar signal tracking. in: Proceedings of the 3rd WSEAS International Conference on Neural Network and Applications (NNA '02), Interlaken, Switzerland, February 11-15, 2002 WSEAS.

Intelligent diagnosis of urinary tract infections in vivo, using electronic noses
Kodogiannis, V., Pavlou, A.K., Chountas, P. and Turner, A.P.F. 2002. Intelligent diagnosis of urinary tract infections in vivo, using electronic noses. in: Hamza, M.H. (ed.) Proceedings of the IASTED International Conference, Signal Processing, Pattern Recognition, and Application, June 25-28, 2002, Crete, Greece Calgary, Canada Acta Press. pp. 155-160

Electronic nose: clinical diagnosis based on soft computing methodologies
Kodogiannis, V., Chountas, P., Pavlou, A.K., Petrounias, I., Chowdrey, H.S. and Temponi, C. 2002. Electronic nose: clinical diagnosis based on soft computing methodologies. in: Proceedings of the IEEE International Symposium Intelligent Systems: Methodology, Models, Applications in Emerging Technologies IS2002, 10-12 Sept.2002, Varna, Bulgaria USA IEEE .

Representation of temporal unawareness
Chountas, P., Petrounias, I., Atanassov, K.T., Kodogiannis, V. and El-Darzi, E. 2002. Representation of temporal unawareness. in: Yakhno, T. (ed.) Advances in Information Systems: Second International Conference, ADVIS 2002, Izmir, Turkey, October 23-25 London, UK Springer.

Representation and querying of temporal conflict
Chountas, P., Petrounias, I., Atanassov, K.T., Kodogiannis, V. and El-Darzi, E. 2002. Representation and querying of temporal conflict. in: Troels, A. (ed.) Flexible query answering systems: 5th International Conference, FQAS 2002, Copenhagen, Denmark, October 2002 London, UK Springer.

Representing and querying temporal workflow schemas
Chountas, P., Petrounias, I., Al-Roki, H. and Kontogiannis, V. 2002. Representing and querying temporal workflow schemas. Notes in Intuitionistic Fuzzy Sets. 8 (3), pp. 57-65.

A comparison between neural network and fuzzy system models for foreign exchange rates prediction
Kontogiannis, V. and Lolis, A. 2001. A comparison between neural network and fuzzy system models for foreign exchange rates prediction. Neural, Parallel and Scientific Computations. 9 (3-4), pp. 417-428.

In vitro determination of skin bilirubin using chromatic modulation
Tomtsis, D., Kodogiannis, V. and Zissopoulos, D. 2001. In vitro determination of skin bilirubin using chromatic modulation. in: Building new bridges at the frontiers of engineering and medicine: 2001 Conference Proceedings of the 23rd Annual International Conference of the IEEE Engineering in Medicine and Biology Society. 25-28 October 2001, Istanbul, Turkey USA IEEE .

Analysis and measurement of the modal power distribution for guiding multimode fibres
Tomtsis, D., Kodogiannis, V. and Zissopoulos, D. 2001. Analysis and measurement of the modal power distribution for guiding multimode fibres. in: Proceedings of the 5th WSES/IEEE World Conference on Systems (CSCC2001) Rethymno, Greece WSES Press. pp. 3451-3456

Information extraction from acoustic signals by optical fibre interferometry techniques based on chromatic modulation
Tomtsis, D. and Kodogiannis, V. 2001. Information extraction from acoustic signals by optical fibre interferometry techniques based on chromatic modulation. in: Proceedings of the WSEAS International Conference: Mathematical Methods and Computational Techniques in Electrical Engineering (MMACTEE 2001) Vouliagmeni, Athens, Greece, December 29-31, 2001 WSEAS. pp. 5381-5386

Intelligent classification of bacterial clinical isolates in vitro, using electronic noses
Pavlou, A.K., Kodogiannis, V., Meechan Jones, J. and Turner, A.P.F. 2001. Intelligent classification of bacterial clinical isolates in vitro, using electronic noses. in: Papadourakis, G.M. (ed.) Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Neural Networks and Expert Systems in Medicine and HealthCare, 20-22 Jun 2001, Milos Island, Greece Technological Educational Institute of Crete. pp. 231-237

Neural network adaptive controller for unmanned underwater vehicles
Kontogiannis, V. and Tomtsis, D. 2001. Neural network adaptive controller for unmanned underwater vehicles. Neural Network World. 11 (3), pp. 207-221.

A comparison between neural network and fuzzy system models for foreign exchange rates prediction
Kontogiannis, V. and Lolis, A. 2001. A comparison between neural network and fuzzy system models for foreign exchange rates prediction. Neural, Parallel and Scientific Computations. 9 (3/4), pp. 417-428.

Prediction of foreign exchange rates by neural network and fuzzy system based techniques
Kodogiannis, V. and Lolis, A. 2001. Prediction of foreign exchange rates by neural network and fuzzy system based techniques. in: ESANN 2001: European symposium on artificial neural networks D-Facto Publications. pp. 245-250

Forecasting exchange rates using neural network and fuzzy system based techniques
Kodogiannis, V. and Lolis, A. 2001. Forecasting exchange rates using neural network and fuzzy system based techniques. in: Proceedings of 2001 WSES International Conference Athens, Greece World Scientific and Engineering Society Press. pp. 4241-4246

Electronic nose: clinical diagnosis based on soft computing methodologies
Kodogiannis, V., Chountas, P., Pavlou, A.K. and Chowdrey, H.S. 2001. Electronic nose: clinical diagnosis based on soft computing methodologies. in: 2002 First International IEEE Symposium "Intelligent Systems" proceedings: September 10-12, 2002, St. Constantine and Helena resort, Varna, Bulgaria USA IEEE . pp. 254-259

An efficient fuzzy based technique for signal classification
Kontogiannis, V. 2001. An efficient fuzzy based technique for signal classification. Journal of Intelligent and Fuzzy Systems. 11 (1/2), pp. 65-84.

Neuro-fuzzy based techniques for acoustic signal classification
Kodogiannis, V. 2001. Neuro-fuzzy based techniques for acoustic signal classification. in: Proceedings of 2001 WSES International Conference Athens, Greece World Scientific and Engineering Society Press. pp. 5261-5267

Neural network adaptive control for underwater robotic systems
Kodogiannis, V. 2001. Neural network adaptive control for underwater robotic systems. in: Proceedings of the 5th WSES/IEEE World Conference on Systems (CSCC2001) Rethymno, Greece WSES Press. pp. 1271-1276

Comparison of advanced learning algorithms for short-term load forecasting
Kontogiannis, V. 2000. Comparison of advanced learning algorithms for short-term load forecasting. Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems. 8 (4), pp. 243-259.

Neural-network-based electric load forecasting systems
Kontogiannis, V. 1999. Neural-network-based electric load forecasting systems. Neural, Parallel and Scientific Computations. 7 (3), pp. 405-416.

A study of advanced learning algorithms for short-term load forecasting
Kontogiannis, V. and Anagnostakis, E.M. 1999. A study of advanced learning algorithms for short-term load forecasting. Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence. 12 (2), pp. 159-173. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0952-1976(98)00064-5

A neural adaptive control technique for manufacturing scheduling
Rovithakis, G., Gaganis, V., Perrakis, S., Kodogiannis, V. and Christodoulou, M. 1997. A neural adaptive control technique for manufacturing scheduling. in: Applications of Neural Adaptive Control Techniques World Scientific Publishing. pp. 121-151

Neural network identification and control of an underwater vehicle
Lisboa, P.J.G., Kontogiannis, V. and Lucas, J. 1997. Neural network identification and control of an underwater vehicle. Transactions of the Institute of Measurement and Control. 19 (4), pp. 202-210. https://doi.org/10.1177/014233129701900405

Neural Network Modelling and Control for Underwater Vehicles
Kontogiannis, V., Lisboa, P.J.G. and Lucas, J. 1996. Neural Network Modelling and Control for Underwater Vehicles. Artificial Intelligence in Engineering. 10 (3), pp. 203-212. https://doi.org/10.1016/0954-1810(95)00029-1

Long Range Predictive Controller for Underwater Robotic Vehicles using Recurrent Neural Networks
Kodogiannis, V., Lisboa, P.J.G. and Lucas, J. 1994. Long Range Predictive Controller for Underwater Robotic Vehicles using Recurrent Neural Networks. 2nd IEEE Mediterranean Symposium on New Directions in Control & Automation. Crete, Greece

Neural Network Based Predictive Control Systems for Underwater Robotic Vehicles
Kodogiannis, V., Lisboa, P.J.G. and Lucas, J. 1994. Neural Network Based Predictive Control Systems for Underwater Robotic Vehicles. Proc. of ELECTRO '94. Boston, USA IEEE . https://doi.org/10.1109/ELECTR.1994.472687

A neural predictive controller for underwater robotic applications
Kodogiannis, V., Lisboa, P.J.G. and Lucas, J. 1993. A neural predictive controller for underwater robotic applications. Proceedings of the 2nd IEEE/BCS Workshop on Neural Network Applications and Tools. Liverpool IEEE .

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