Early Identification of the Long-Term Unemployed

Payne, C. and Payne, J. 2000. Early Identification of the Long-Term Unemployed. London Policy Studies Institute.

TitleEarly Identification of the Long-Term Unemployed
AuthorsPayne, C. and Payne, J.
TypeDiscussion paper
Abstract

Summary:

The paper describes a feasibility study carried out for the Employment Service and the Department for Education and Employment in Britain to identify those individuals who, when first registering as unemployed, are likely to be at high risk of becoming long-term unemployed. A simple prediction scheme is developed that can be easily administered by officials who deal with unemployment registration. The scheme is based on a logistic model for the odds of long-term employment which is calibrated and cross-validated on a national cohort study containing data on employment histories. The paper concludes with a discussion of the effects of the decision rules that are chosen and of the prediction errors that arise when the prediction scheme is applied in practice.

Year2000
PublisherPolicy Studies Institute
Place of publicationLondon
Publication dates
Published2000
ISBN0853747822
File

Related outputs

New deal for young people: national survey of participants: stage 2
Bonjour, D., Dorsett, R., Knight, G., Lissenburgh, S., Mukherjee, A., Payne, J., Range, M., Urwin, P.J. and White, M. 2001. New deal for young people: national survey of participants: stage 2. Sheffield, UK Employment Service. https://doi.org/EmploymentServiceResearchandDevelopmentReportESR67

Evaluating Training Programmes for the Long-Term Unemployed: An illustration of the matched comparison group methodology
Payne, J. 2000. Evaluating Training Programmes for the Long-Term Unemployed: An illustration of the matched comparison group methodology. London Policy Studies Institute.

Longitudinal Data for Policy Analysis
White, M., Payne, J. and Lakey, J. 2000. Longitudinal Data for Policy Analysis. Office for National Statistics.

Work-based training and job prospects for the unemployed: an evaluation of training for work
Payne, J., Payne, C., Lissenburgh, S. and Range, M. 1999. Work-based training and job prospects for the unemployed: an evaluation of training for work. London Department for Education and Employment.

Permalink - https://westminsterresearch.westminster.ac.uk/item/q953x/early-identification-of-the-long-term-unemployed


Share this

Usage statistics

150 total views
189 total downloads
These values cover views and downloads from WestminsterResearch and are for the period from September 2nd 2018, when this repository was created.