Financial, institutional, and macroeconomic determinants of cross-country portfolio equity flows: the case of developed countries

Afonso, A., Alves, J., Beck, K. and Jackson, K. 2024. Financial, institutional, and macroeconomic determinants of cross-country portfolio equity flows: the case of developed countries. Economic Modelling. 141 106902. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106902

TitleFinancial, institutional, and macroeconomic determinants of cross-country portfolio equity flows: the case of developed countries
TypeJournal article
AuthorsAfonso, A., Alves, J., Beck, K. and Jackson, K.
Abstract

This paper examines the determinants of financial equity flows to investigate the role played by business cycles, government debt and sovereign rating scores, and whether the impact depends on the magnitude and direction of the flows. Using a new, richer dataset of flows among developed countries over 2001-2018, our key findings are as follows: (i) equity flows are more intense among countries at the same stage of the business cycle (ii) equity flows are higher to countries with a relatively lower debt to GDP ratio (iii) financial and macroeconomic variables are important for big equity flows, while institutional variables are important for the small flows. Overall, considering a wider range of factors under-explored in the literature, we provide a stronger understanding of the development of risks in the financial sector as well as the linkages with other sectors of the economy.

KeywordsOECD countries
business cycle
sovereign ratings
government debt
semi-parametric regressions
quantile regressions
Article number106902
JournalEconomic Modelling
Journal citation141
ISSN0264-9993
Year2024
PublisherElsevier
Accepted author manuscript
License
CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
File Access Level
Open (open metadata and files)
Publisher's version
License
CC BY 4.0
File Access Level
Open (open metadata and files)
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106902
Publication dates
Published in printDec 2024
Published online21 Oct 2024

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