BEACON - D5.1 First tactical model and results

Gurtner, G. 2022. BEACON - D5.1 First tactical model and results.

TitleBEACON - D5.1 First tactical model and results
AuthorsGurtner, G.
TypeProject report
Abstract

The deliverable presents the results obtained with the help of the Mercury simulator in order to estimate the efficiency and equitability of hotspot resolution mechanisms defined in D3.1 and tested on a small-scale simulator in D4.2. To this end, fast-time games are defined, with a central optimiser implementing the mechanisms computing the final flight/slot allocation. The game is played by agents representing the airlines present in the regulation, and who are tasked with sending information to the central optimiser regarding their own costs, in order for the latter to find the best possible allocation cost-wise. The deliverable defines the various games possible, combining different types of central optimisers and different types of agents, taking into account various degrees of rationality and behavioural biases for the decisions of the latter. The deliverable presents a theoretical framework for these behaviours, highly simplified but implementable in simple simulations.
Different results with these simulations are presented. First, it is found that the approximation process used by airlines to communicate their costs to the optimiser has a major effect on the efficiency of the mechanisms. Second, it is found that, due to the variance of the regulation structure and the approximation issues, defining a performant rational agent is difficult. Despite this fact, the deliverable shows how one of the mechanisms (credit mechanism) was calibrated, including the rationality of agents in the corresponding game. It then shows the detrimental impact of the presence of rational agents – as opposed to honest ones – on the efficiency of two relevant optimisers, including the credit mechanism, as well as the impact of behavioural biases. Finally, it compares the aggregated gains potentially made with the various mechanisms in terms of efficiency and equity

KeywordsAgent-based models
ATM
Air Traffic Management
Behavioural economics
Game theory
ATFM regulation
Flight prioritisation
Year2022
Publication dates
Published onlineNov 2022
ProjectBEACON
FunderSESAR Joint Undertaking
File
License
All rights reserved
File Access Level
Open (open metadata and files)

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