Gurtner, G. and Bolic, T. 2023. Impact of cost approximation on the efficiency of collaborative regulation resolution mechanisms. Journal of Air Transport Management. 113 102471. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2023.102471
| Title | Impact of cost approximation on the efficiency of collaborative regulation resolution mechanisms |
|---|---|
| Type | Journal article |
| Authors | Gurtner, G. and Bolic, T. |
| Abstract | Air Traffic Flow Management (ATFM) measures are often used to alleviate capacity demand imbalances. Usually, these measures impose a departure delay on flights crossing the airspace in question, where delay is assigned on a “First Planned First Served” (FPFS) base, which minimises total delay. Since delays typically have a different impact on individual flights in terms of cost, a procedure based on cost minimisation could reduce delay-related costs. User-Driven Prioritisation Process (UDPP) is developing a set of solutions aimed at allowing airlines to rearrange their flights within their own slots assigned by the FPFS rule. Inter-airline cost reducing approaches are still missing, but several works have been launched in this direction, using either central optimisations or market-based mechanisms. We analyse the impact of cost approximations procedures, integral part of certain inter-airline mechanisms, overall likely to be used by airlines or the Network Manager (that manages ATFM measures). Using cost models and simulations to collect the true cost of delay profiles, we show that the impact of cost approximations have been severely underestimated, leaving little room for new mechanisms to improve over UDPP. Moreover, we show that the errors made by the airlines on their own costs, expected at least for some airlines, further deteriorate the situation, including UDPP. However, we find that approximation procedures create a strong resilience to these errors, showing how both UDPP and inter-airline procedures may benefit from not having the airlines communicate their detailed costs. Thus, we find that any design of new mechanisms could include a cost approximation procedure in order to increase its resilience. |
| Keywords | Cost of delay |
| User-Driven Prioritisation Process | |
| Air traffic flow management | |
| ATFM delay | |
| ATFM slots | |
| Agent-based model | |
| Article number | 102471 |
| Journal | Journal of Air Transport Management |
| Journal citation | 113 |
| ISSN | 1873-2089 |
| 0969-6997 | |
| Year | 2023 |
| Publisher | Elsevier |
| Publisher's version | License CC BY 4.0 File Access Level Open (open metadata and files) |
| Digital Object Identifier (DOI) | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2023.102471 |
| Web address (URL) | https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S096969972300114X |
| Publication dates | |
| Published | 15 Sep 2023 |
| Project | BEACON |
| Funder | SESAR Joint Undertaking under Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme |
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CAMERA – Mobility Report 1
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Domino D6.3 - Workshop results summary
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Domino D2.2 - Database structure
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Domino D5.2 - Investigative case studies results
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Domino D5.1 - Metrics and analysis approach
Lillo, F., Mazzarisi, P., Zaoli, S., Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Cook, A.J. and Castelli, L. 2019. Domino D5.1 - Metrics and analysis approach. SESAR.
Vista D6.3 - Stakeholder consultation on initial assessment
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G. and Tanner, G. 2018. Vista D6.3 - Stakeholder consultation on initial assessment. SESAR.
Domino D6.2 - Stakeholders' consultation on system and investigative case studies
Delgado, L., Tanner, G., Gurtner, G. and Cook, A.J. 2018. Domino D6.2 - Stakeholders' consultation on system and investigative case studies.
Domino D3.2 - Investigative case studies description
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Cook, A.J., Pilon, N. and Tanner, G. 2018. Domino D3.2 - Investigative case studies description.
Domino D4.1 - Initial model design
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Cook, A.J., Pilon, N., Valput, D., Cristobal, S. and Tanner, G. 2018. Domino D4.1 - Initial model design.
Vista D1.2 - Final Project Results Report
Cook, A.J., Gurtner, G., Delgado, L. and Tanner, G. 2018. Vista D1.2 - Final Project Results Report. SESAR.
Vista D5.2 - Final Assessment Report
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Cristobal, S., Martín, J. and Cook, A.J. 2018. Vista D5.2 - Final Assessment Report. SESAR.
A multi-layer model for long-term KPI aligment forecast
Gurtner, G., Delgado, L., Cook, A.J., Martín, J. and Cristobal, S. 2018. A multi-layer model for long-term KPI aligment forecast. 8th SESAR Innovation Days. Salzburg 03 - 06 Dec 2018 SESAR.
Airline disruption management with aircraft swapping and reinforcement learning
Hondet, G., Delgado, L. and Gurtner, G. 2018. Airline disruption management with aircraft swapping and reinforcement learning. 8th SESAR Innovation Days. Salzburg 03 - 06 Dec 2018 SESAR.
Towards new metrics assessing air traffic network interactions
Mazzarisi, P., Zaoli, S., Lillo, F., Delgado, L. and Gurtner, G. 2018. Towards new metrics assessing air traffic network interactions. 8th SESAR Innovation Days. Salzburg 03 - 06 Dec 2018
D2.1 – Establishment of Performance Framework
Cook, A.J., Tanner, G., Gurtner, G., Delgado, L. and Cristobal, S. 2018. D2.1 – Establishment of Performance Framework. http://h2020camera.eu/ Innaxis.
Domino D6.2 - Stakeholders' consultation on system and investigative case studies
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Tanner, G. and Cook, A.J. 2018. Domino D6.2 - Stakeholders' consultation on system and investigative case studies.
Domino D3.1 - Architecture definition
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Valput, D., Pilon, N., Guichard, L., Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2018. Domino D3.1 - Architecture definition.
Domino D2.1 - Data management and sources
Bolic, T., Castelli, L., Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Tanner, G. and Cook, A.J. 2018. Domino D2.1 - Data management and sources.
Domino D1.1 - Project Management Plan
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Tanner, G., Cook, A.J., Guichard, L., Bolic, T., Lillo, F. and Cristobal, S. 2018. Domino D1.1 - Project Management Plan.
Vista D5.1 - Initial Assessment Report
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Cristobal, S., Martín, J. and Cook, A.J. 2018. Vista D5.1 - Initial Assessment Report.
The economic value of additional airport departure capacity
Gurtner, G., Cook, A.J., Graham, A. and Cristobal, S. 2018. The economic value of additional airport departure capacity. Journal of Air Transport Management. 69, pp. 1-14. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2018.01.001
Strategic allocation of flight plans in air traffic management: an evolutionary point of view
Gurtner, G. and Lillo, F. 2018. Strategic allocation of flight plans in air traffic management: an evolutionary point of view. Dynamic Games and Applications. 8 (4), p. 799–821. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13235-017-0236-4
Reducing ATFM delays through strategic flight planning
Bolić, T., Castelli, L., Corolli, L. and Rigonat, D. 2017. Reducing ATFM delays through strategic flight planning. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review. 98, pp. 42-59. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tre.2016.12.001
Peak-load pricing for the European air traffic management system using modulation of en-route charges
Bolić, T., Castelli, L. and Rigonat, D. 2017. Peak-load pricing for the European air traffic management system using modulation of en-route charges. European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research. 17 (1), pp. 136-152. https://doi.org/10.18757/ejtir.2017.17.1.3184
Interim evaluation of the SESAR Joint Undertaking (2014-2016) operating under Horizon 2020, Final Report
Bolic, T. 2017. Interim evaluation of the SESAR Joint Undertaking (2014-2016) operating under Horizon 2020, Final Report. Luxembourg Publications Office of the European Union. https://doi.org/10.2832/69327
Vista D2.1 Supporting Data for Business and Regulatory Scenarios Report
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Cook, A.J., Plets, H., Perez, D., Cristobal, S., Triska, A., Patey, S. and Andrésson, E.I. 2017. Vista D2.1 Supporting Data for Business and Regulatory Scenarios Report.
Vista D6.2 - Stakeholder Consultation on Business and Regulatory Scenarios
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G. and Tanner, G. 2017. Vista D6.2 - Stakeholder Consultation on Business and Regulatory Scenarios.
DATASET2050 D5.2 - Assessment execution
Cook, A.J., Tanner, G., Gurtner, G., Ureta, H., Cristobal, S., Belkoura, S., Gómez, I., Paul, A., Kluge, U. and Hullah, P. 2017. DATASET2050 D5.2 - Assessment execution.
DATASET2050 D5.1 - Mobility assessment
Hullah, P., Kirby, S., Cook, A.J., Tanner, G., Gurtner, G., Ureta, H., Cristobal, S. and Gómez, I. 2017. DATASET2050 D5.1 - Mobility assessment.
Building a Holistic ATM Model for Future KPI Trade-Offs
Gurtner, G., Delgado, L., Cook, A.J., Martin, J., Cristobal, S. and Plets, H. 2017. Building a Holistic ATM Model for Future KPI Trade-Offs. Schaefer, D. (ed.) SESAR Innovation Days 2017. Belgrade, Serbia 28 - 30 Nov 2017 SESAR.
Building a Holistic ATM Model for Future KPI Trade-Offs
Gurtner, G., Delgado, L., Cook, A.J., Martin, J., Cristobal, S. and Plets, H. 2017. Building a Holistic ATM Model for Future KPI Trade-Offs. Schaefer, D. (ed.) SESAR Innovation Days 2017. Belgrade, Serbia 28 - 30 Nov 2017 SESAR.
Indicator development: how could we improve existing indicators and which new ones do we need?
Cook, A.J., Gurtner, G. and Delgado, L. 2017. Indicator development: how could we improve existing indicators and which new ones do we need? Vista Workshop. Vienna, Austria 23 - 23 Oct 2017
The Vista model: the challenges of building a holistic model across the strategic, pre-tactical and tactical phases of ATM
Gurtner, G., Cook, A.J. and Delgado, L. 2017. The Vista model: the challenges of building a holistic model across the strategic, pre-tactical and tactical phases of ATM. Vista Workshop. Vienna, Austria 23 - 23 Oct 2017
Modelling the 2035 and 2050 timeframes: key business and regulatory factors to be considered
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G. and Cook, A.J. 2017. Modelling the 2035 and 2050 timeframes: key business and regulatory factors to be considered. Vista workshop. Vienna, Austria 23 Oct 2017
Modelling strategic trade-offs - insights into the SESAR ‘Vista’ project
Cook, A.J., Delgado, L. and Gurtner, G. 2017. Modelling strategic trade-offs - insights into the SESAR ‘Vista’ project . AGIFORS 57th Annual Symposium. London 02 - 06 Oct 2017
Understanding KPI trade-offs - key challenges of modelling architectures and data acquisition
Gurtner, G. and Cook, A.J. 2017. Understanding KPI trade-offs - key challenges of modelling architectures and data acquisition. Data Science in Aviation 2017 Workshop. Cologne, Germany 29 Sep 2017
Vista - market forces trade‐offs impacting European ATM performance
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G. and Cook, A.J. 2017. Vista - market forces trade‐offs impacting European ATM performance. COCTA Workshop: Improving Performance in ATM – Innovative institutions, mechanisms and incentives. Frankfurt, Germany 27 Sep 2017
Performance measurement in a world of targets and trade-offs
Cook, A.J. and Gurtner, G. 2017. Performance measurement in a world of targets and trade-offs. EUROCONTROL Agency Research Team. University of Westminster, London 25 - 26 Apr 2017
Vista D4.1 - Initial Framework Definition
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Cook, A.J., Cristobal, S. and Martin, J. 2017. Vista D4.1 - Initial Framework Definition.
Vista D3.1 - Business and Regulatory Scenarios Report
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Cook, A.J., Plets, H., Huet, D., Perez, D., Cristobal, S., Triska, A, Patey, S. and Andresson, E. I. 2017. Vista D3.1 - Business and Regulatory Scenarios Report.
An Empirically grounded Agent Based simulator for Air Traffic Management in the SESAR scenario
Gurtner, G., Bongiorno, C., Ducci, M. and Miccichè, S. 2017. An Empirically grounded Agent Based simulator for Air Traffic Management in the SESAR scenario. Journal of Air Transport Management. 59, pp. 26-43. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2016.11.004
Statistical characterization of deviations from planned flight trajectories in air traffic management
Bongiorno, C., Gurtner, G., Lillo, F., Mantegna, R.N. and Miccichè, S. 2017. Statistical characterization of deviations from planned flight trajectories in air traffic management. Journal of Air Transport Management. 58, pp. 152-163. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2016.10.009
DATASET2050 D2.2 - Data-driven Model
Cristobal, S., Ureta, H., Perez, D., Paul, A., Gurtner, G. and Cook, A.J. 2016. DATASET2050 D2.2 - Data-driven Model. Innaxis.
Study on the Modelling of Airport Economic Value
Gurtner, G., Cook, A.J., Graham, A. and Cristobal, S. 2016. Study on the Modelling of Airport Economic Value. Eurocontrol.
DATASET2050 D4.2 - Future supply profile
Tanner, G., Cook, A.J., Gurtner, G., Graham, A., Delgado, L., Cristobal, S., Ureta, H., Paul, A., Kluge, U., Mennig, P. and Hullah, P. 2016. DATASET2050 D4.2 - Future supply profile.
The economic value of adding capacity at airports – a data-driven model
Gurtner, G., Cook, A.J., Graham, A., Cristobal, S. and Huet, D. 2016. The economic value of adding capacity at airports – a data-driven model. Schaefer, D. (ed.) Sixth SESAR Innovation Days. Delft, Netherlands 08 - 10 Nov 2016 SESAR.
Automation adoption and adaptation: Case study of user request evaluation tool
Bolic, T. and Hansen, M. 2005. Automation adoption and adaptation: Case study of user request evaluation tool. Transportation Research Record. 1915 (1), pp. 62-68. https://doi.org/10.3141/1915-08
Controller-pilot radio channel utilization and cognitive issues
Bolic, T., Rakas, J. and Hansen, M. 2005. Controller-pilot radio channel utilization and cognitive issues. 6th USA/Europe Air Traffic Management Research and Development Seminar 2005. Baltimore, Maryland, USA 27 - 30 Jun 2005
User Request Evaluation Tool and Controller-Pilot Data Link Communications Integration Benefits Assessment
Rakas, J., Hansen, M., Jirajaruporn, W. and Bolic, T. 2003. User Request Evaluation Tool and Controller-Pilot Data Link Communications Integration Benefits Assessment. Transportation Research Record. 1850 (1), pp. 20-29. https://doi.org/10.3141/1850-03
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