Impact of cost approximation on the efficiency of collaborative regulation resolution mechanisms

Gurtner, G. and Bolic, T. 2023. Impact of cost approximation on the efficiency of collaborative regulation resolution mechanisms. Journal of Air Transport Management. 113 102471. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2023.102471

TitleImpact of cost approximation on the efficiency of collaborative regulation resolution mechanisms
TypeJournal article
AuthorsGurtner, G. and Bolic, T.
Abstract

Air Traffic Flow Management (ATFM) measures are often used to alleviate capacity demand imbalances. Usually, these measures impose a departure delay on flights crossing the airspace in question, where delay is assigned on a “First Planned First Served” (FPFS) base, which minimises total delay. Since delays typically have a different impact on individual flights in terms of cost, a procedure based on cost minimisation could reduce delay-related costs. User-Driven Prioritisation Process (UDPP) is developing a set of solutions aimed at allowing airlines to rearrange their flights within their own slots assigned by the FPFS rule. Inter-airline cost reducing approaches are still missing, but several works have been launched in this direction, using either central optimisations or market-based mechanisms.

We analyse the impact of cost approximations procedures, integral part of certain inter-airline mechanisms, overall likely to be used by airlines or the Network Manager (that manages ATFM measures). Using cost models and simulations to collect the true cost of delay profiles, we show that the impact of cost approximations have been severely underestimated, leaving little room for new mechanisms to improve over UDPP. Moreover, we show that the errors made by the airlines on their own costs, expected at least for some airlines, further deteriorate the situation, including UDPP. However, we find that approximation procedures create a strong resilience to these errors, showing how both UDPP and inter-airline procedures may benefit from not having the airlines communicate their detailed costs. Thus, we find that any design of new mechanisms could include a cost approximation procedure in order to increase its resilience.

KeywordsCost of delay
User-Driven Prioritisation Process
Air traffic flow management
ATFM delay
ATFM slots
Agent-based model
Article number102471
JournalJournal of Air Transport Management
Journal citation113
ISSN1873-2089
0969-6997
Year2023
PublisherElsevier
Publisher's version
License
CC BY 4.0
File Access Level
Open (open metadata and files)
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2023.102471
Web address (URL)https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S096969972300114X
Publication dates
Published15 Sep 2023
ProjectBEACON
FunderSESAR Joint Undertaking under Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme

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Cook, A.J. and Gurtner, G. 2017. Performance measurement in a world of targets and trade-offs. EUROCONTROL Agency Research Team. University of Westminster, London 25 - 26 Apr 2017

Vista D4.1 - Initial Framework Definition
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Cook, A.J., Cristobal, S. and Martin, J. 2017. Vista D4.1 - Initial Framework Definition.

Vista D3.1 - Business and Regulatory Scenarios Report
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Cook, A.J., Plets, H., Huet, D., Perez, D., Cristobal, S., Triska, A, Patey, S. and Andresson, E. I. 2017. Vista D3.1 - Business and Regulatory Scenarios Report.

An Empirically grounded Agent Based simulator for Air Traffic Management in the SESAR scenario
Gurtner, G., Bongiorno, C., Ducci, M. and Miccichè, S. 2017. An Empirically grounded Agent Based simulator for Air Traffic Management in the SESAR scenario. Journal of Air Transport Management. 59, pp. 26-43. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2016.11.004

Statistical characterization of deviations from planned flight trajectories in air traffic management
Bongiorno, C., Gurtner, G., Lillo, F., Mantegna, R.N. and Miccichè, S. 2017. Statistical characterization of deviations from planned flight trajectories in air traffic management. Journal of Air Transport Management. 58, pp. 152-163. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2016.10.009

DATASET2050 D2.2 - Data-driven Model
Cristobal, S., Ureta, H., Perez, D., Paul, A., Gurtner, G. and Cook, A.J. 2016. DATASET2050 D2.2 - Data-driven Model. Innaxis.

Study on the Modelling of Airport Economic Value
Gurtner, G., Cook, A.J., Graham, A. and Cristobal, S. 2016. Study on the Modelling of Airport Economic Value. Eurocontrol.

DATASET2050 D4.2 - Future supply profile
Tanner, G., Cook, A.J., Gurtner, G., Graham, A., Delgado, L., Cristobal, S., Ureta, H., Paul, A., Kluge, U., Mennig, P. and Hullah, P. 2016. DATASET2050 D4.2 - Future supply profile.

The economic value of adding capacity at airports – a data-driven model
Gurtner, G., Cook, A.J., Graham, A., Cristobal, S. and Huet, D. 2016. The economic value of adding capacity at airports – a data-driven model. Schaefer, D. (ed.) Sixth SESAR Innovation Days. Delft, Netherlands 08 - 10 Nov 2016 SESAR.

Automation adoption and adaptation: Case study of user request evaluation tool
Bolic, T. and Hansen, M. 2005. Automation adoption and adaptation: Case study of user request evaluation tool. Transportation Research Record. 1915 (1), pp. 62-68. https://doi.org/10.3141/1915-08

Controller-pilot radio channel utilization and cognitive issues
Bolic, T., Rakas, J. and Hansen, M. 2005. Controller-pilot radio channel utilization and cognitive issues. 6th USA/Europe Air Traffic Management Research and Development Seminar 2005. Baltimore, Maryland, USA 27 - 30 Jun 2005

User Request Evaluation Tool and Controller-Pilot Data Link Communications Integration Benefits Assessment
Rakas, J., Hansen, M., Jirajaruporn, W. and Bolic, T. 2003. User Request Evaluation Tool and Controller-Pilot Data Link Communications Integration Benefits Assessment. Transportation Research Record. 1850 (1), pp. 20-29. https://doi.org/10.3141/1850-03

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