Reconciling flexibility and predictability in strategic flight planning : WestminsterResearch

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Title	Reconciling flexibility and predictability in strategic flight planning
Authors	Castelli, L., Bolic, T. and Cook, A.J.
Type	Workshop item
Abstract	The current European ATM system offers great flight planning flexibility, which is very tactical. Moving towards a more strategic way of planning will be acceptable as long as a viable compromise between flexibility and predictability can be achieved. The project ADAPT (Advanced prediction models for flexible trajectory-based operations) has proposed strategic models to predict the volume, flexibility and complexity of traffic demand considering both individual flights and network infrastructure (i.e. sectors and airports). The aim is to enable early flight information sharing in order to identify potential network bottlenecks and the degree of flexibility of all flights. The project findings are based on a mathematical programming model that quantifies flexibility for each flight trajectory. We term this flexibility measure time windows. Time windows are time intervals around each sequential operation (departure, arrival or entry into a sector) of a flight. As long as the flight operation is performed within the time window, the flight will not cause disturbances (i.e., delay) to any other flight in the system, at any time. If a flight has to be performed in a highly congested environment with a number of interdependent flights, a ‘small’ delay may cause a large downstream effect. It follows that such flights are constrained to operate closely to their assigned times, and we refer to them as constrained. On the contrary, a flight is unconstrained when operated in a non-congested area where the same amount of delay may not have any impact other than the delay on the flight itself. In other words, should an unconstrained flight depart ‘slightly after’ the assigned time, it will not cause disruptions in the system. Thus, the duration of a time window is a measure of the flexibility that can be granted to perform the flight operation: the longer the duration of the time window, the greater the flexibility, of course. Since constrained and unconstrained flights may coexist at the same time in the network, the duration of time windows may vary among flights. Therefore, the ADAPT model can be used in what-if scenarios testing the decision-making processes of AUs and ANSPs. Once time windows are assigned to flights, it is possible to identify the elements of the planned network configuration (i.e., sectors or airports) that are going to be saturated. Thus, already at the strategic/pre-tactical level, an indication of the flexibility or constraints imposed on flights, and saturated network elements can be obtained. Furthermore, it is also possible to define a criticality index of the saturated elements, which indicates to what extent time windows can be enlarged should a rise in capacity of the element occur. Having the information on the saturated sectors, and their criticality index, ANSPs could take mitigation actions to improve the situation on the day of operations. For example, a supervisor having one or two saturated sectors, both with the low criticality index, might decide that the planned configuration is good enough as even if the capacity ends up being violated it will be for a small number of flights, which in many cases is what already happens in every-day operations. However, if there are few sector-hours within an area control center with high criticality indexes, the supervisor might decide to change the configuration into a one that brings more capacity. Further, this change can be inserted into time window model to re-run it and check what impact it would have on this particular airspace, and the entire network. Computational experiments are run on real data (traffic, airspace configurations, etc.), and on a large instance (around 30 000 flights, 230 airports, 1500 sectors and 1440 time periods). Their results are encouraging and highlight the opportunity to further explore ATM strategic aspects in order to better manage the system on the day of operations. Acknowledgements. The work presented here is a result of the ADAPT project. This project has received funding from the SESAR Joint Undertaking under grant agreement No. 783264 under European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme. The opinions expressed herein reflect the author’s view only. Under no circumstances shall the SESAR Joint Undertaking be responsible for any use that may be made of the information contained herein.
Year	2024
Conference	InterFAB research workshop – predictability and flexibility
Publisher's version	Panel 3_L Castelli.pptx File Access Level Open (open metadata and files)
Published	Apr 2024
Project	ADAPT - Advanced prediction models for flexible trajectory-based operations [Led by U Trieste]
Funder	European Union’s Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation programme
Web address (URL) of conference proceedings	https://www.fabec.eu/thought-leadership/predictability
Web address (URL)	https://www.fabec.eu/thought-leadership/predictability
File	File Access Level Open (open metadata and files)

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Domino D2.2 - Database structure
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Bolic, T., Bassi, P. and Cook, A.J. 2019. Domino D2.2 - Database structure. SESAR.

Domino D5.2 - Investigative case studies results
Lillo, F., Mazzarisi, P., Zaoli, S., Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Valput, D., Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2019. Domino D5.2 - Investigative case studies results. SESAR.

Domino D5.1 - Metrics and analysis approach
Lillo, F., Mazzarisi, P., Zaoli, S., Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Cook, A.J. and Castelli, L. 2019. Domino D5.1 - Metrics and analysis approach. SESAR.

Engage D3.4 Thematic challenges priming report for first workshops
Schaefer, D., Tanner, G. and Cook, A.J. 2018. Engage D3.4 Thematic challenges priming report for first workshops. SESAR.

Domino D6.2 - Stakeholders' consultation on system and investigative case studies
Delgado, L., Tanner, G., Gurtner, G. and Cook, A.J. 2018. Domino D6.2 - Stakeholders' consultation on system and investigative case studies.

Domino D3.2 - Investigative case studies description
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Cook, A.J., Pilon, N. and Tanner, G. 2018. Domino D3.2 - Investigative case studies description.

Domino D4.1 - Initial model design
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Cook, A.J., Pilon, N., Valput, D., Cristobal, S. and Tanner, G. 2018. Domino D4.1 - Initial model design.

Vista D1.2 - Final Project Results Report
Cook, A.J., Gurtner, G., Delgado, L. and Tanner, G. 2018. Vista D1.2 - Final Project Results Report. SESAR.

Vista D5.2 - Final Assessment Report
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Cristobal, S., Martín, J. and Cook, A.J. 2018. Vista D5.2 - Final Assessment Report. SESAR.

A multi-layer model for long-term KPI aligment forecast
Gurtner, G., Delgado, L., Cook, A.J., Martín, J. and Cristobal, S. 2018. A multi-layer model for long-term KPI aligment forecast. 8th SESAR Innovation Days. Salzburg 03 - 06 Dec 2018 SESAR.

D2.1 – Establishment of Performance Framework
Cook, A.J., Tanner, G., Gurtner, G., Delgado, L. and Cristobal, S. 2018. D2.1 – Establishment of Performance Framework. http://h2020camera.eu/ Innaxis.

Domino D6.2 - Stakeholders' consultation on system and investigative case studies
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Tanner, G. and Cook, A.J. 2018. Domino D6.2 - Stakeholders' consultation on system and investigative case studies.

Domino D3.1 - Architecture definition
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Valput, D., Pilon, N., Guichard, L., Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2018. Domino D3.1 - Architecture definition.

Domino D2.1 - Data management and sources
Bolic, T., Castelli, L., Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Tanner, G. and Cook, A.J. 2018. Domino D2.1 - Data management and sources.

Domino D6.1 - Dissemination plan and project visual identity
Ureta, H., Gomez, I., Tanner, G., Delgado, L., Guichard, L., Bolic, T., Lillo, F. and Cook, A.J. 2018. Domino D6.1 - Dissemination plan and project visual identity.

Domino D1.1 - Project Management Plan
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Tanner, G., Cook, A.J., Guichard, L., Bolic, T., Lillo, F. and Cristobal, S. 2018. Domino D1.1 - Project Management Plan.

Vista D5.1 - Initial Assessment Report
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Cristobal, S., Martín, J. and Cook, A.J. 2018. Vista D5.1 - Initial Assessment Report.

Performance assessment in ATM – towards better collaborative methods
Cook, A.J. 2018. Performance assessment in ATM – towards better collaborative methods. Performance Assessment Work Forum. Brussels, Belgium 07 Feb 2018

The economic value of additional airport departure capacity
Gurtner, G., Cook, A.J., Graham, A. and Cristobal, S. 2018. The economic value of additional airport departure capacity. Journal of Air Transport Management. 69, pp. 1-14. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2018.01.001

SOSTA: An effective model for the Simultaneous Optimisation of airport SloT Allocation
Pellegrini, P., Bolić, T., Castelli, L. and Pesenti, R. 2017. SOSTA: An effective model for the Simultaneous Optimisation of airport SloT Allocation. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review. 99, pp. 34-53. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tre.2016.12.006

Reducing ATFM delays through strategic flight planning
Bolić, T., Castelli, L., Corolli, L. and Rigonat, D. 2017. Reducing ATFM delays through strategic flight planning. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review. 98, pp. 42-59. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tre.2016.12.001

Peak-load pricing for the European air traffic management system using modulation of en-route charges
Bolić, T., Castelli, L. and Rigonat, D. 2017. Peak-load pricing for the European air traffic management system using modulation of en-route charges. European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research. 17 (1), pp. 136-152. https://doi.org/10.18757/ejtir.2017.17.1.3184

Interim evaluation of the SESAR Joint Undertaking (2014-2016) operating under Horizon 2020, Final Report
Bolic, T. 2017. Interim evaluation of the SESAR Joint Undertaking (2014-2016) operating under Horizon 2020, Final Report. Luxembourg Publications Office of the European Union. https://doi.org/10.2832/69327

Vista D2.1 Supporting Data for Business and Regulatory Scenarios Report
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Cook, A.J., Plets, H., Perez, D., Cristobal, S., Triska, A., Patey, S. and Andrésson, E.I. 2017. Vista D2.1 Supporting Data for Business and Regulatory Scenarios Report.

DATASET2050 D5.2 - Assessment execution
Cook, A.J., Tanner, G., Gurtner, G., Ureta, H., Cristobal, S., Belkoura, S., Gómez, I., Paul, A., Kluge, U. and Hullah, P. 2017. DATASET2050 D5.2 - Assessment execution.

DATASET2050 D5.1 - Mobility assessment
Hullah, P., Kirby, S., Cook, A.J., Tanner, G., Gurtner, G., Ureta, H., Cristobal, S. and Gómez, I. 2017. DATASET2050 D5.1 - Mobility assessment.

Managing dwell times – a key challenge for the D2D target
Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2017. Managing dwell times – a key challenge for the D2D target. SESAR Innovation Days 2017 - DATASET2050 workshop. Belgrade, Serbia 27 Nov 2017 Innaxis.

Building a Holistic ATM Model for Future KPI Trade-Offs
Gurtner, G., Delgado, L., Cook, A.J., Martin, J., Cristobal, S. and Plets, H. 2017. Building a Holistic ATM Model for Future KPI Trade-Offs. Schaefer, D. (ed.) SESAR Innovation Days 2017. Belgrade, Serbia 28 - 30 Nov 2017 SESAR.

Indicator development: how could we improve existing indicators and which new ones do we need?
Cook, A.J., Gurtner, G. and Delgado, L. 2017. Indicator development: how could we improve existing indicators and which new ones do we need? Vista Workshop. Vienna, Austria 23 - 23 Oct 2017

The Vista model: the challenges of building a holistic model across the strategic, pre-tactical and tactical phases of ATM
Gurtner, G., Cook, A.J. and Delgado, L. 2017. The Vista model: the challenges of building a holistic model across the strategic, pre-tactical and tactical phases of ATM. Vista Workshop. Vienna, Austria 23 - 23 Oct 2017

Modelling the 2035 and 2050 timeframes: key business and regulatory factors to be considered
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G. and Cook, A.J. 2017. Modelling the 2035 and 2050 timeframes: key business and regulatory factors to be considered. Vista workshop. Vienna, Austria 23 Oct 2017

Modelling strategic trade-offs - insights into the SESAR ‘Vista’ project
Cook, A.J., Delgado, L. and Gurtner, G. 2017. Modelling strategic trade-offs - insights into the SESAR ‘Vista’ project . AGIFORS 57th Annual Symposium. London 02 - 06 Oct 2017

Understanding KPI trade-offs - key challenges of modelling architectures and data acquisition
Gurtner, G. and Cook, A.J. 2017. Understanding KPI trade-offs - key challenges of modelling architectures and data acquisition. Data Science in Aviation 2017 Workshop. Cologne, Germany 29 Sep 2017

Vista - market forces trade‐offs impacting European ATM performance
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G. and Cook, A.J. 2017. Vista - market forces trade‐offs impacting European ATM performance. COCTA Workshop: Improving Performance in ATM – Innovative institutions, mechanisms and incentives. Frankfurt, Germany 27 Sep 2017

DATASET2050 D4.2 - Future Supply Profile
Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2017. DATASET2050 D4.2 - Future Supply Profile. Innaxis.

DATASET2050 D3.2 - Future Passenger Demand Profile
Paul, A., Kluge, U., Mennig, P., Ureta, H., Tanner, G., Cook, A.J. and Hullah, P. 2017. DATASET2050 D3.2 - Future Passenger Demand Profile. Innaxis.

DATASET2050
Cook, A.J. 2017. DATASET2050. Connectivity Workshop. EUROCONTROL, Brussels 18 Jan 2017

Performance measurement in a world of targets and trade-offs
Cook, A.J. and Gurtner, G. 2017. Performance measurement in a world of targets and trade-offs. EUROCONTROL Agency Research Team. University of Westminster, London 25 - 26 Apr 2017

Vista D4.1 - Initial Framework Definition
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Cook, A.J., Cristobal, S. and Martin, J. 2017. Vista D4.1 - Initial Framework Definition.

Vista D3.1 - Business and Regulatory Scenarios Report
Delgado, L., Gurtner, G., Cook, A.J., Plets, H., Huet, D., Perez, D., Cristobal, S., Triska, A, Patey, S. and Andresson, E. I. 2017. Vista D3.1 - Business and Regulatory Scenarios Report.

Report on ALoSP implementation in EUROCONTROL Member States, including proposal for the initial definition and guidance to support its harmonised implementation in Europe
Cook, A.J., Netjasov, F, Kuljanin, J and Ganic, E 2017. Report on ALoSP implementation in EUROCONTROL Member States, including proposal for the initial definition and guidance to support its harmonised implementation in Europe.

Factors influencing European passenger demand for air transport
Cook, A.J., Kluge, U., Paul, A. and Cristobal, S. 2017. Factors influencing European passenger demand for air transport. Air Transport Research Society World Conference. University of Antwerp Stadscampus, Belgium 05 - 08 Jul 2017 Air Transport Research Society.

ATM performance measurement in Europe, the US and China
Cook, A.J., Belkoura, S. and Zanin, M. 2017. ATM performance measurement in Europe, the US and China. Chinese Journal of Aeronautics. 30 (2), pp. 479-490. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cja.2017.01.001

ComplexityCosts D4.5 - Final Technical Report
Delgado, L., Cristobal, S., Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2016. ComplexityCosts D4.5 - Final Technical Report.

ComplexityCosts D3.2 - Investment trade-offs
Delgado, L., Cristobal, S., Cook, A.J., Tanner, G. and Schultz, M. 2016. ComplexityCosts D3.2 - Investment trade-offs.

DATASET2050 D4.1 - Current Supply Profile
Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2016. DATASET2050 D4.1 - Current Supply Profile. Innaxis.

DATASET2050 D3.1 - Current Passenger Demand Profile
Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2016. DATASET2050 D3.1 - Current Passenger Demand Profile. Innaxis.

DATASET2050 D2.2 - Data-driven Model
Cristobal, S., Ureta, H., Perez, D., Paul, A., Gurtner, G. and Cook, A.J. 2016. DATASET2050 D2.2 - Data-driven Model. Innaxis.

DATASET2050 D2.1 - Data Requirements and Acquisition
Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2016. DATASET2050 D2.1 - Data Requirements and Acquisition. Innaxis.

DATASET2050 D4.1 - Current Supply Profile
Hullah, P., Kirby, S., Ureta, H., Cook, A.J., Tanner, G., Graham, A., Rothfeld, R. and Paul, A. 2016. DATASET2050 D4.1 - Current Supply Profile.

Complexity challenges in ATM
Lopez, P., Cook, A.J. and Rivas, D. 2016. Complexity challenges in ATM. Madrid ComplexWorld Consortium.

Assessing European mobility
Cook, A.J. and Perez, D. 2016. Assessing European mobility. ACARE Implementation & Review Group. European Commission, Brussels 13 Dec 2016

The cost of delay
Cook, A.J. 2016. The cost of delay. EUROCONTROL Agency Research Team. Ecole Nationale de l'Aviation Civile, Toulouse 24 Mar 2016

The challenge of ATM performance measurement
Cook, A.J. 2016. The challenge of ATM performance measurement. Global Workshop on Aviation System Performance. Tianjin, China 21 - 23 Jul 2016

Network modelling – performance, metrics, challenges
Cook, A.J. 2016. Network modelling – performance, metrics, challenges. Symposium on Complexity Science in Air Transportation. Beihang University, Beijng 10 - 12 Apr 2016

SATURN D6.5 - Final Report
Babić, O., Bolić, T., Castelli, L., Cook, A.J., Corolli, L., Costanzo, S., Jovanović, R., Marcotte, E., Rigonat, D., Tanner, G., Tošić, V. and Živanović, M. 2016. SATURN D6.5 - Final Report.

UDPP Credits concept description – White Paper
Cook, A.J., Ruiz, S., Bujor, A. and Castelli, L. 2016. UDPP Credits concept description – White Paper.

Study on the Modelling of Airport Economic Value
Gurtner, G., Cook, A.J., Graham, A. and Cristobal, S. 2016. Study on the Modelling of Airport Economic Value. Eurocontrol.

DATASET2050 D4.2 - Future supply profile
Tanner, G., Cook, A.J., Gurtner, G., Graham, A., Delgado, L., Cristobal, S., Ureta, H., Paul, A., Kluge, U., Mennig, P. and Hullah, P. 2016. DATASET2050 D4.2 - Future supply profile.

DATASET2050 D2.1 - Data requirements and acquisition
Tanner, G., Cook, A.J., Delgado, L., Graham, A., Cristobal, S., Ureta, H. and Paul, A. 2016. DATASET2050 D2.1 - Data requirements and acquisition.

MUAC Stakeholder Survey - MCG briefing
Cook, A.J. 2016. MUAC Stakeholder Survey - MCG briefing.

Data Science
Cook, A.J., Zanin, M. and Belkoura, S. 2016. Data Science. in: Cook, A.J. and Rivas, D. (ed.) Complexity Science in Air Traffic Management Abingdon and New York Routledge. pp. 105-129

Complex Network Theory
Cook, A.J. and Zanin, M. 2016. Complex Network Theory. in: Cook, A.J. and Rivas, D. (ed.) Complexity Science in Air Traffic Management Abingdon and New York Routledge. pp. 9-22

Improved flexibility and equity for airspace users during demand-capacity imbalance - an introduction to the user-driven prioritisation process
Pilon, N., Cook, A.J., Ruiz, S., Bujor, A. and Castelli, L. 2016. Improved flexibility and equity for airspace users during demand-capacity imbalance - an introduction to the user-driven prioritisation process. Schaefer, D. (ed.) Sixth SESAR Innovation Days. Delft, Netherlands 08 - 10 Nov 2016 SESAR.

Quantifying resilience in ATM - contrasting the impacts of four mechanisms during disturbance
Delgado, L., Cook, A.J., Tanner, G. and Cristobal, S. 2016. Quantifying resilience in ATM - contrasting the impacts of four mechanisms during disturbance. Schaefer, D. (ed.) Sixth SESAR Innovation Days. Delft, Netherlands 08 - 10 Nov 2016 SESAR.

The economic value of adding capacity at airports – a data-driven model
Gurtner, G., Cook, A.J., Graham, A., Cristobal, S. and Huet, D. 2016. The economic value of adding capacity at airports – a data-driven model. Schaefer, D. (ed.) Sixth SESAR Innovation Days. Delft, Netherlands 08 - 10 Nov 2016 SESAR.

On the multi-dimensionality and sampling of air transport networks
Belkoura, S., Cook, A.J., Pena, J.M. and Zanin, M. 2016. On the multi-dimensionality and sampling of air transport networks. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review. 94, pp. 95-109. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tre.2016.07.013

Measuring the cost of resilience
Cook, A.J., Delgado, L., Tanner, G. and Cristobal, S. 2016. Measuring the cost of resilience. Journal of Air Transport Management. 56 (A), pp. 38-47. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2016.02.007

Civil aviation management during explosive volcanic eruptions: A survey on the stakeholders' perspective on the use of tephra dispersal models
Scaini, C., Bolić, T., Folch, A. and Castelli, L. 2015. Civil aviation management during explosive volcanic eruptions: A survey on the stakeholders' perspective on the use of tephra dispersal models. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research. 294, pp. 25-36. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2015.02.007

ComplexityCosts D3.1 - Scenario Definition
Delgado, L., Cook, A.J., Tanner, G., Cristobal, S. and Schultz, M. 2015. ComplexityCosts D3.1 - Scenario Definition.

ComplexityCosts D2.2 - Model Implementation
Cristobal, S., Delgado, L., Tanner, G., Cook, A.J., Pérez, D. and Montlaur, A. 2015. ComplexityCosts D2.2 - Model Implementation.

ComplexityCosts D2.1 - Theoretical Stochastic Layered Network Model
Blanch, A., Cook, A.J., Cristobal, S., Delgado, L., Fürstenau, N. and Tanner, G. 2015. ComplexityCosts D2.1 - Theoretical Stochastic Layered Network Model.

The cost of passenger delay to airlines in Europe - consultation document
Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2015. The cost of passenger delay to airlines in Europe - consultation document.

‘POEM’ Outstanding Project Award
Cook, A.J. 2015. ‘POEM’ Outstanding Project Award. World ATM Congress. Madrid 07 - 12 Mar 2015 SESAR.

New insights into delay propagation?
Cook, A.J. 2015. New insights into delay propagation? 3rd INFORM Airline Forum. Lisbon 20 - 22 May 2015

European airline delay cost reference values
Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2015. European airline delay cost reference values. Brussels EUROCONTROL Performance Review Unit.

Delay propagation – new metrics, new insights
Cook, A.J., Tanner, G., Cristobal, S. and Zanin, M. 2015. Delay propagation – new metrics, new insights. Eleventh USA/Europe Air Traffic Management Research and Development Seminar . Lisbon 23 - 26 Jun 2015 EUROCONTROL/FAA.

Controller time and delay costs - a trade-off analysis
Delgado, L., Cook, A., Cristobal, S. and Plets, H. 2015. Controller time and delay costs - a trade-off analysis. Schaefer, D. (ed.) Fifth SESAR Innovation Days. Bologna 01 - 03 Dec 2015 SESAR.

Applying complexity science to air traffic management
Cook, A.J., Blom, H., Lillo, F., Mantegna, R., Miccichè, S., S, Rivas, D., Vázquez, R., Zanin, M. and Mantegnad, R. 2015. Applying complexity science to air traffic management. Journal of Air Transport Management. 42, pp. 149-158. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2014.09.011

A GIS-based tool to support air traffic management during explosive volcanic eruptions
Scaini, C., Folch, A., Bolić, T. and Castelli, L. 2014. A GIS-based tool to support air traffic management during explosive volcanic eruptions. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies. 49, pp. 19-31. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2014.09.020

ComplexityCosts D4.3 - Communication and Dissemination Report
Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2014. ComplexityCosts D4.3 - Communication and Dissemination Report.

ComplexityCosts D1.3 - Interim data requirements and scoping
Cook, A.J., Blanch, A., Cristobal, S., Delgado, L., Förster, P., Straube, K. and Tanner, G. 2014. ComplexityCosts D1.3 - Interim data requirements and scoping.

ComplexityCosts D1.2 - Design mechanisms and cost allocations
Cook, A.J., Blanch, A., Cristobal, S., Delgado, L., Förster, P., Pérez, D. and Tanner, G. 2014. ComplexityCosts D1.2 - Design mechanisms and cost allocations.

ComplexityCosts D1.1 - Update on the state of the art
Cook, A.J., Cristobal, S., Förster, P. and Tanner, G. 2014. ComplexityCosts D1.1 - Update on the state of the art.

SATURN D2.1 - Future airspace congestion - a users' discussion guide
Babić, O., Bolić, T., Castelli, L., Cook, A.J., Corolli, L., Delgado, L., Jovanović, R., Labbé, M., Lazarević, M., Marcotte, E., Netjasov, F., Rigonat, D., Tanner, G. and Tošić, V. 2014. SATURN D2.1 - Future airspace congestion - a users' discussion guide.

SATURN D1.1 - Data Management (main report)
Babić, O., Bolić, T., Castelli, L., Cook, A.J., Delgado, L., Ivanov, N., Jovanović, R., Marcotte, E., Rigonat, D., Tanner, G. and Tošić, V. 2014. SATURN D1.1 - Data Management (main report).

Better Pricing Strategies for ATM?
Bolić, T, Rigonat, D, Castelli, L, Jovanović, R, Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2014. Better Pricing Strategies for ATM? Schaefer, D. (ed.) Fourth SESAR Innovation Days. Madrid 25 - 27 Nov 2014 SESAR.

What cost reslience?
Cook, A.J., Delgado, L., Cristobal, S. and Blanch, A. 2014. What cost reslience? Schaefer, D. (ed.) Fourth SESAR Innovation Days. Madrid 25 - 27 Nov 2014 SESAR.

Flight prioritisation, delay costs and the passenger – where next?
Cook, A.J. 2013. Flight prioritisation, delay costs and the passenger – where next? 2nd INFORM Airline Forum. London Heathrow 18 - 20 Sep 2013

4D trajectories - assessing the cost of time
Cook, A.J. 2013. 4D trajectories - assessing the cost of time. NAV09 - Air: Aviation’s Future Trajectories (Organised by the Royal Institute of Navigation). Imperial College, London 25 Nov 2009

CASSIOPEIA D4.3 - case study 3 report: hub connectivity-driven variable aircraft speeds
Tanner, G., Blanch, A., Martín, J. and Cook, A.J. 2013. CASSIOPEIA D4.3 - case study 3 report: hub connectivity-driven variable aircraft speeds.

POEM Final Technical Report
Cook, A.J., Tanner, G., Cristobal, S. and Zanin, M. 2013. POEM Final Technical Report. SESAR.

New perspectives for air transport performance
Cook, A.J., Tanner, G., Cristobal, S. and Zanin, M. 2013. New perspectives for air transport performance. Schaefer, D. (ed.) Third SESAR Innovation Days. Stockholm 26 - 28 Nov 2013 SESAR.

Towards superior air transport performance metrics – imperatives and methods
Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2013. Towards superior air transport performance metrics – imperatives and methods. Journal of Aerospace Operations. 2, pp. 3-19. https://doi.org/10.3233/AOP-130032

The hidden cost of airline unpunctuality
Cook, A.J., Tanner, G. and Lawes, A. 2012. The hidden cost of airline unpunctuality. Journal of Transport Economics and Policy. 46 (2), pp. 157-173.

Innovation adoption and adaptation in air traffic control: Interaction of organizations
Bolic, T. 2012. Innovation adoption and adaptation in air traffic control: Interaction of organizations. International Journal of Sociotechnology and Knowledge Development. 4 (1). https://doi.org/10.4018/jskd.2012010102

Passenger-Oriented Enhanced Metrics
Cook, A.J., Tanner, G., Cristobal, S. and Zanin, M. 2012. Passenger-Oriented Enhanced Metrics. Schaefer, D (ed.) Second SESAR Innovation Days. Braunschweig 27 - 29 Nov 2012 SESAR.

D6.1 POEM stakeholder feedback on design.
Tanner, G., Cook, A.J., Blanch, A. and Cristobal, S. 2012. D6.1 POEM stakeholder feedback on design. Eurocontrol.

D3.1 The design of propagation- and passenger-oriented metrics
Cook, A.J., Tanner, G. and Zanin, M. 2012. D3.1 The design of propagation- and passenger-oriented metrics. Eurocontrol.

A quantitative exploration of flight prioritisation principles, using new delay costs
Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2012. A quantitative exploration of flight prioritisation principles, using new delay costs. Journal of Aerospace Operations. 1 (3), pp. 195-211. https://doi.org/10.3233/AOP-2012-0018

D2.1 Design of the model scenarios
Blanch, A., Zanin, M., Cristobal, S., Perez, D., Loadman, J., Lloret, J., Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2012. D2.1 Design of the model scenarios. Eurocontrol.

D2.1A Logical architecture
Blanch, A., Zanin, M., Cristobal, S., Perez, D., Gonzalez, Y., Loadman, J., Lloret, J., Cook, A.J., Tanner, G., Benito, A., Lansorena, I. and Molina, M. 2012. D2.1A Logical architecture. Eurocontrol.

ComplexWorld Position Paper
Cook, A.J., Blom, H, Helmke, H, Herranz, R, Lillo, F, Micciche’, S, Perez, D and Rivas, D 2011. ComplexWorld Position Paper. Madrid ComplexWorld Consortium.

Passenger-Oriented Enhanced Metrics
Cook, A.J. 2011. Passenger-Oriented Enhanced Metrics. Schaefer, D. (ed.) First SESAR Innovation Days. Toulouse 29 Nov - 01 Dec 2011 SESAR.

D1.2 Passenger and traffic data input to model
Tanner, G., Cook, A.J., Blanch, A. and Cristobal, S. 2011. D1.2 Passenger and traffic data input to model. Eurocontrol.

D4.1 The preliminary POEM network model
Cristobal, S., Blanch, A., Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2011. D4.1 The preliminary POEM network model. Eurocontrol.

D5.1 Design of the analysis plan
Cook, A.J., Zanin, M. and Tanner, G. 2011. D5.1 Design of the analysis plan. Eurocontrol.

D1.1 Passenger and traffic data specification
Cook, A.J., Tanner, G., Cristobal, S. and Zanin, M. 2011. D1.1 Passenger and traffic data specification. Eurocontrol.

Modelling the airline costs of delay propagation
Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2011. Modelling the airline costs of delay propagation. AGIFORS Airline Operations Conference. London, United Kingdom 16th - 19th May 2011

European airline delay cost reference values
Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2011. European airline delay cost reference values. EUROCONTROL Performance Review Unit.

D1.2 High-level functional specification: model outputs
Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2011. D1.2 High-level functional specification: model outputs. Eurocontrol.

D1.1 High-level functional specification: model inputs
Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2011. D1.1 High-level functional specification: model inputs. Eurocontrol.

Quantifying airline delay costs - the balance between strategic and tactical costs
Cook, A.J., Tanner, G. and Enaud, P. 2010. Quantifying airline delay costs - the balance between strategic and tactical costs. 14th Air Transport Research Society (ATRS) World Conference. Porto, Portugal 06 - 09 Jul 2010

Delay cost management and key challenges
Cook, A.J. 2010. Delay cost management and key challenges. 9th EUROCONTROL Innovative Research Workshop & Exhibition. Brétigny sur Orge, France 7th - 9th December 2010

The cost of delay to air transport in Europe: quantification and management
Cook, A.J., Tanner, G., Jovanovic, R. and Lawes, A. 2009. The cost of delay to air transport in Europe: quantification and management. 13th Air Transport Research Society (ATRS) World Conference. Abu Dhabi, UAE 27th - 30th June 2009

The challenge of managing airline delay costs
Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2009. The challenge of managing airline delay costs. German Aviation Research Society and University of Belgrade, Conference on Air Traffic Management Economics. University of Belgrade, Serbia 10th - 11th September 2009

Dynamic cost indexing: managing airline delay costs
Cook, A.J., Tanner, G., Williams, V. and Meise, G. 2009. Dynamic cost indexing: managing airline delay costs. Journal of Air Transport Management. 15 (1), pp. 26-35. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2008.07.001

Innovative Cooperative Actions of R&D in EUROCONTROL Programme CARE INO III: Dynamic Cost Indexing: Electronic prototype of a dynamic cost indexing tool
Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2008. Innovative Cooperative Actions of R&D in EUROCONTROL Programme CARE INO III: Dynamic Cost Indexing: Electronic prototype of a dynamic cost indexing tool. Deliverable (prototype tool), EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre.

Innovative Cooperative Actions of R&D in EUROCONTROL Programme CARE INO III: Dynamic Cost Indexing: Airline costs of delayed passengers and how to estimate full network delay costs
Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2008. Innovative Cooperative Actions of R&D in EUROCONTROL Programme CARE INO III: Dynamic Cost Indexing: Airline costs of delayed passengers and how to estimate full network delay costs. Transport Studies Group, University of Westminster. https://doi.org/TechnicalDiscussionDocument6.0

Innovative Cooperative Actions of R&D in EUROCONTROL Programme CARE INO III: Dynamic Cost Indexing: Aircraft crewing – marginal delay costs
Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2008. Innovative Cooperative Actions of R&D in EUROCONTROL Programme CARE INO III: Dynamic Cost Indexing: Aircraft crewing – marginal delay costs. Transport Studies Group, University of Westminster. https://doi.org/TechnicalDiscussionDocument5.0

Innovative Cooperative Actions of R&D in EUROCONTROL Programme CARE INO III: Dynamic Cost Indexing: Aircraft maintenance – marginal delay costs
Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2008. Innovative Cooperative Actions of R&D in EUROCONTROL Programme CARE INO III: Dynamic Cost Indexing: Aircraft maintenance – marginal delay costs. Transport Studies Group, University of Westminster. https://doi.org/TechnicalDiscussionDocument9.0

Innovative Cooperative Actions of R&D in EUROCONTROL Programme CARE INO III: Dynamic Cost Indexing: Including climate impacts of NOx in a Dynamic Cost Indexing
Cook, A.J., Williams, V. and Tanner, G. 2008. Innovative Cooperative Actions of R&D in EUROCONTROL Programme CARE INO III: Dynamic Cost Indexing: Including climate impacts of NOx in a Dynamic Cost Indexing. EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre.

DISTILLATE: A KonSULT-based strategy option generator
Kelly, C., May, A., Jopson, A., Gawthorpe, S., Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2008. DISTILLATE: A KonSULT-based strategy option generator. KonSULT.

Understanding and managing the costs of delay to airlines
Cook, A.J., Tanner, G., Williams, V. and Meise, G. 2008. Understanding and managing the costs of delay to airlines. NATS Workshop. NATS Corporate and Technical Centre, Swanwick 02 Jul 2008

Understanding and managing the costs of delay to airlines
Cook, A.J., Tanner, G., Williams, V. and Meise, G. 2008. Understanding and managing the costs of delay to airlines. EUROCONTROL Innovative Research Workshop. EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre, Brétigny sur Orge, France 17 June 2008

Dynamic cost indexing: cost estimations and building the prototype
Cook, A.J., Tanner, G., Williams, V. and Meise, G. 2008. Dynamic cost indexing: cost estimations and building the prototype. 7th EUROCONTROL Innovative Research Workshop & Exhibition. EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre 2 - 4 Dec 2008

Managing the Acceptance of Change in ATM
Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2008. Managing the Acceptance of Change in ATM. Air Traffic Control Quarterly. 16 (3), pp. 235-254.

Dynamic cost indexing
Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2008. Dynamic cost indexing. European ATM Innovation Symposium. University of Southampton 16 Jan 2008

Attitudes to change in ATM operations: introduction of CDA trials at Manchester, Bucharest, and Stockholm
Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2007. Attitudes to change in ATM operations: introduction of CDA trials at Manchester, Bucharest, and Stockholm. Brussels, Belgium European Organisation for the Safety of Air Navigation. https://doi.org/EECNote2007-08

Option generation tools for sustainable urban transport strategies
May, A., Jopson, A., Gawthorpe, S., Kelly, C., Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2007. Option generation tools for sustainable urban transport strategies. 11th World Conference on Transportation Research. Berkeley, USA 24 - 29 Jun 2007

Dynamic cost indexing
Cook, A.J., Tanner, G., Williams, V. and Meise, G. 2007. Dynamic cost indexing. 6th EUROCONTROL Innovative Research Workshops & Exhibition. EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre, Brétigny sur Orge, France 04 - 06 Dec 2007

A psychosocial approach to understanding pilot and controller acceptance of change in ATM, based on three CDA case studies
Cook, A.J., Tanner, G., Pilon, N. and Joyce, T. 2007. A psychosocial approach to understanding pilot and controller acceptance of change in ATM, based on three CDA case studies. 7th USA/Europe Air Traffic Management R&D Seminar. Barcelona, Spain 02 - 05 Jul 2007 EUROCONTROL/FAA.

VANTAGE Phase 1, Traffic Flow Model
Cook, A.J., Tanner, G. and Dennis, N. 2007. VANTAGE Phase 1, Traffic Flow Model. University of Westminster. https://doi.org/BERRProjectNo:TP/3/DSM/6/I/15530;DeliverableVANTAGE-UOW-4220-DD-08

Designing an effective survey of air travellers
Cook, A.J. and Lawes, A. 2007. Designing an effective survey of air travellers. Marketing and Market Research for Air Transport: Theory and Practice (University of Westminster external short course). University of Westminster, London, UK 28 Feb - 02 Mar 2007

The management and costs of delay
Cook, A.J. 2007. The management and costs of delay. in: Cook, A.J. (ed.) European air traffic management: principles, practice, and research Aldershot Ashgate. pp. 97-122

Sustainable disposal of domestic sanitary waste
Ashley, R., Blackwood, D., Souter, N., Hendry, S., Moir, J., Dunkerley, J., Davies, J., Butler, D., Cook, A.J., Conlin, J., Squibbs, M., Britton, A. and Goldie, P. 2005. Sustainable disposal of domestic sanitary waste. Journal of Environmental Engineering. 131 (2), pp. 206-215. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9372(2005)131:2(206)

Automation adoption and adaptation: Case study of user request evaluation tool
Bolic, T. and Hansen, M. 2005. Automation adoption and adaptation: Case study of user request evaluation tool. Transportation Research Record. 1915 (1), pp. 62-68. https://doi.org/10.3141/1915-08

Controller-pilot radio channel utilization and cognitive issues
Bolic, T., Rakas, J. and Hansen, M. 2005. Controller-pilot radio channel utilization and cognitive issues. 6th USA/Europe Air Traffic Management Research and Development Seminar 2005. Baltimore, Maryland, USA 27 - 30 Jun 2005

"Citizens" study: results of European focus groups examining public perceptions of air transport growth and ATM
Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2005. "Citizens" study: results of European focus groups examining public perceptions of air transport growth and ATM. London, UK EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre. https://doi.org/EEC/SEE/2005/013

Attitudes t societal demands in ATM operations: introduction of a B-CDA trial at Manchester Airport
Cook, A.J. and Tanner, G. 2005. Attitudes t societal demands in ATM operations: introduction of a B-CDA trial at Manchester Airport. Cedex, France EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre. https://doi.org/EEC/SEE/2005/18

Measuring the effectiveness of campaigns: lessons for mobility management from the EU TAPESTRY project
Tyler, S. and Cook, A.J. 2004. Measuring the effectiveness of campaigns: lessons for mobility management from the EU TAPESTRY project. European Conference on Mobility Management (ECOMM 2004). Lyon, France 05-07 May 2004

Designing an effective survey of air travellers
Lawes, A. and Cook, A.J. 2004. Designing an effective survey of air travellers. Marketing and Market Research for Air Transport: Theory and Practice. London, UK 01-02 Dec 2004

Understanding the true cost of delay to airline operators
Cook, A.J., Tanner, G. and Anderson, S. 2004. Understanding the true cost of delay to airline operators. Managing Airline Operating Costs Conference. Lisbon, Portugal 08 Dec 2004

Evaluating the true cost to airlines of one minute of airborne or ground delay: final report
Cook, A.J., Tanner, G. and Anderson, S. 2004. Evaluating the true cost to airlines of one minute of airborne or ground delay: final report. Brussels, Belgium Eurocontrol.

User Request Evaluation Tool and Controller-Pilot Data Link Communications Integration Benefits Assessment
Rakas, J., Hansen, M., Jirajaruporn, W. and Bolic, T. 2003. User Request Evaluation Tool and Controller-Pilot Data Link Communications Integration Benefits Assessment. Transportation Research Record. 1850 (1), pp. 20-29. https://doi.org/10.3141/1850-03

The valuation of reliability for personal travel
Bates, J., Polak, J., Jones, P.M. and Cook, A.J. 2001. The valuation of reliability for personal travel. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review. 37 (2-3), pp. 191-229. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1366-5545(00)00011-9

Conditional route implementation phase 1: AO use of CDRs
Cook, A.J., Tanner, G. and Anderson, S. 2001. Conditional route implementation phase 1: AO use of CDRs. UK University of Westminster.

UK generation of electricity from biomass resources: preliminary resource analyses and infrastructure modelling
Allen, J., Cook, A.J. and Palmer, H. 1996. UK generation of electricity from biomass resources: preliminary resource analyses and infrastructure modelling. Scottish Agricultural Economics Review. 9, pp. 73-79.

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Reconciling flexibility and predictability in strategic flight planning

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