How places vote
Furlong, Jamie and Jennings, Will 2024. How places vote. in: The Changing Electoral Map of England and Wales Oxford University Press. pp. 85-118
Furlong, Jamie and Jennings, Will 2024. How places vote. in: The Changing Electoral Map of England and Wales Oxford University Press. pp. 85-118
Chapter title | How places vote |
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Authors | Furlong, Jamie and Jennings, Will |
Abstract | This chapter explores the extent to which the sociodemographic underpinnings of the electoral geography of England and Wales have changed between 1979 and 2019. It asks what kind of constituencies returned high vote shares for Labour and the Conservatives at each general election over this period. The chapter begins by exploring the bivariate constituency-level relationships between party vote shares and variables associated with three alternative definitions of places being ‘left behind’. We then estimate multiple linear regression models, revealing a significant long-term (though recently accelerating) shift away from Labour to the Conservatives in demographically left behind areas with largely white, working-class populations and lower levels of education. In contrast, Labour’s electoral dominance in areas with high levels of economic deprivation (economically left behind) and higher proportions of people in insecure/precarious employment (precariously left behind) has remained stable over this forty-year period. |
Book title | The Changing Electoral Map of England and Wales |
Page range | 85-118 |
Year | 2024 |
Publisher | Oxford University Press |
Publication dates | |
Published in print | 12 Jun 2024 |
ISBN | 9780198927082 |
Digital Object Identifier (DOI) | https://doi.org/10.1093/9780191943331.003.0004 |
Journal | The Changing Electoral Map of England and Wales |