How places vote

Furlong, Jamie and Jennings, Will 2024. How places vote. in: The Changing Electoral Map of England and Wales Oxford University Press. pp. 85-118

Chapter titleHow places vote
AuthorsFurlong, Jamie and Jennings, Will
AbstractThis chapter explores the extent to which the sociodemographic underpinnings of the electoral geography of England and Wales have changed between 1979 and 2019. It asks what kind of constituencies returned high vote shares for Labour and the Conservatives at each general election over this period. The chapter begins by exploring the bivariate constituency-level relationships between party vote shares and variables associated with three alternative definitions of places being ‘left behind’. We then estimate multiple linear regression models, revealing a significant long-term (though recently accelerating) shift away from Labour to the Conservatives in demographically left behind areas with largely white, working-class populations and lower levels of education. In contrast, Labour’s electoral dominance in areas with high levels of economic deprivation (economically left behind) and higher proportions of people in insecure/precarious employment (precariously left behind) has remained stable over this forty-year period.
Book titleThe Changing Electoral Map of England and Wales
Page range85-118
Year2024
PublisherOxford University Press
Publication dates
Published in print12 Jun 2024
ISBN9780198927082
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)https://doi.org/10.1093/9780191943331.003.0004
JournalThe Changing Electoral Map of England and Wales

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