Conclusion

Furlong, Jamie and Jennings, Will 2024. Conclusion. in: The Changing Electoral Map of England and Wales Oxford University PressOxford. pp. 215-230

Chapter titleConclusion
AuthorsFurlong, Jamie and Jennings, Will
AbstractThis closing chapter summarizes our evidence and explanation of gradual changes—with notable accelerations and decelerations—in the geographical basis of electoral competition in England and Wales. We reflect on the drivers of changing electoral geography (long-term trends in social and economic structure and their geographic expression), putting Britain in comparative context. We provide an overview of the ways in which electoral outcomes have varied by region and place over time, and how the sociodemographic and economic predictors of voting at the constituency level have varied. We argue that there is substantial analytical and empirical value in identifying areas where parties defy the predictions of statistical models, and in using qualitative methods to better understand those cases. We suggest there is much uncertainty regarding how these developments might play out in the future, but argue that the importance of electoral geography should not be underestimated for the chances of parties taking office.
Book titleThe Changing Electoral Map of England and Wales
Page range215-230
Year2024
PublisherOxford University PressOxford
Publication dates
Published in print20 Jun 2024
ISBN9780198927082
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)https://doi.org/10.1093/9780191943331.003.0008
JournalThe Changing Electoral Map of England and Wales

Related outputs

Why place matters
Furlong, Jamie and Jennings, Will 2024. Why place matters. in: The Changing Electoral Map of England and Wales Oxford University Press. pp. 184-214

In search of Red and Blue heartlands
Furlong, Jamie and Jennings, Will 2024. In search of Red and Blue heartlands. in: The Changing Electoral Map of England and Wales Oxford University PressOxford. pp. 151-183

Redrawing the electoral map
Furlong, Jamie and Jennings, Will 2024. Redrawing the electoral map. in: The Changing Electoral Map of England and Wales Oxford University PressOxford. pp. 1-36

Electoral change in England and Wales
Furlong, Jamie and Jennings, Will 2024. Electoral change in England and Wales. in: The Changing Electoral Map of England and Wales Oxford University Press. pp. 62-84

Relative decline (and growth) and the changing electoral geography of England and Wales
Furlong, Jamie and Jennings, Will 2024. Relative decline (and growth) and the changing electoral geography of England and Wales. in: The Changing Electoral Map of England and Wales Oxford University Press. pp. 119-150

How changing demography drives electoral change
Furlong, Jamie and Jennings, Will 2024. How changing demography drives electoral change. in: The Changing Electoral Map of England and Wales Oxford University Press. pp. 37-61

How places vote
Furlong, Jamie and Jennings, Will 2024. How places vote. in: The Changing Electoral Map of England and Wales Oxford University Press. pp. 85-118

Road Traffic Injuries and LTNs: Statistical Analysis Plan
Furlong, J., Armstrong, B., Edwards, P., Fevyer, D., Aldred, R. and Goodman, A. 2024. Road Traffic Injuries and LTNs: Statistical Analysis Plan.

WeThink MRP: Historical low for the Conservatives?
Furlong, J. 2024. WeThink MRP: Historical low for the Conservatives?

How the Electoral Map of England and Wales has been Redrawn
Furlong, J. and Jennings, W. 2024. How the Electoral Map of England and Wales has been Redrawn. Political Insight. 15 (2), pp. 4-7. https://doi.org/10.1177/20419058241260780a

The Changing Electoral Map of England and Wales
Furlong, J. and Jennings, W. 2024. The Changing Electoral Map of England and Wales. Oxford University Press (OUP).

Low Traffic Neighbourhoods in London: statistical analysis plan for examining impacts on driving times
Goodman, A., Laverty, A., Furlong, J., Edwards, P., Armstrong, B. and Aldred, R. 2023. Low Traffic Neighbourhoods in London: statistical analysis plan for examining impacts on driving times.

Sound and fury? The impact of councillors’ LTN positions on voting behaviour in Greater London
Furlong, J., Brook, A., Hicks, C. and Aldred, R. 2023. Sound and fury? The impact of councillors’ LTN positions on voting behaviour in Greater London. Possible.

What does the evidence on Low Traffic Neighbourhoods really show?
Furlong, J., Larrington-Spencer, H. and Verlinghieri, E. 2023. What does the evidence on Low Traffic Neighbourhoods really show? Public Sector Focus, Issue 27, July/August 2023.

Are low-traffic neighbourhoods greenwashing? Here’s what the evidence says
Furlong, J., Verlinghieri, E. and Larrington-Spencer, H. 2023. Are low-traffic neighbourhoods greenwashing? Here’s what the evidence says. The Conversation.

Trading off Time, Carbon, Active Travel, and Health: What do People Really Think about Traffic-reduction Measures?
Cohen, T., Furlong, J. and Farrow, L. 2023. Trading off Time, Carbon, Active Travel, and Health: What do People Really Think about Traffic-reduction Measures? Findings. June. https://doi.org/10.32866/001c.81100

The Impact of 2020 Low Traffic Neighbourhoods on Levels of Car/Van Driving among Residents: Findings from Lambeth, London, UK
Anna Goodman, Anthony A. Laverty, Jamie Furlong and Rachel Aldred 2023. The Impact of 2020 Low Traffic Neighbourhoods on Levels of Car/Van Driving among Residents: Findings from Lambeth, London, UK. Findings. June. https://doi.org/10.32866/001c.75470

Statistical Analysis Plan: Low Traffic Neighbourhoods in London: Interrupted time series analysis of sensor count data
Furlong, J., Armstrong, B., Aldred, R. and Edwards, P. 2023. Statistical Analysis Plan: Low Traffic Neighbourhoods in London: Interrupted time series analysis of sensor count data .

London air pollution: expanding the ULEZ is good but it won’t work by itself
Furlong, J. 2022. London air pollution: expanding the ULEZ is good but it won’t work by itself. The Conversation.

Equity in temporary street closures: The case of London’s Covid-19 ‘School Streets’ schemes
Thomas, A., Furlong, J. and Aldred, R. 2022. Equity in temporary street closures: The case of London’s Covid-19 ‘School Streets’ schemes. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment. 110 (September 2022) 103402. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2022.103402

Equity in temporary street closures: The case of London’s Covid-19 ‘School Streets’ schemes
Thomas, A., Furlong, J. and Aldred, R. 2022. Equity in temporary street closures: The case of London’s Covid-19 ‘School Streets’ schemes. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment. 110. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2022.103402

Impacts of 2020 Low Traffic Neighbourhoods in London on Road Traffic Injuries
Goodman, A., Jamie Furlong, Laverty, A., Henry Patrick Thomas, A. and Aldred, R. 2021. Impacts of 2020 Low Traffic Neighbourhoods in London on Road Traffic Injuries. Findings. https://doi.org/10.32866/001c.25633

Place-based Politics and Nested Deprivation in the U.K.: Beyond Cities-towns, ‘Two Englands’ and the ‘Left Behind’
Boswell, J., Denham J., Furlong, J., Killick, A., Ndugga, P, Rek, B., Ryan, M. and Shipp, J. 2020. Place-based Politics and Nested Deprivation in the U.K.: Beyond Cities-towns, ‘Two Englands’ and the ‘Left Behind’. Representation. 58 (2), pp. 169-190. https://doi.org/10.1080/00344893.2020.1751258

The changing electoral geography of England and Wales: Varieties of “left-behindedness”
Furlong, J. 2019. The changing electoral geography of England and Wales: Varieties of “left-behindedness”. Political Geography. 75. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.polgeo.2019.102061

Permalink - https://westminsterresearch.westminster.ac.uk/item/wv28y/conclusion


Share this

Usage statistics

0 total views
0 total downloads
These values cover views and downloads from WestminsterResearch and are for the period from September 2nd 2018, when this repository was created.