Causal Inference
Kameshwara, K. and Gorman, E. 2025. Forthcoming. Causal Inference . in: Thomas, M., Jules, T., Shields, R. and Schweisfurth, M. (ed.) The Bloomsbury Handbook of Method in Comparative and International Education Bloomsbury.
Kameshwara, K. and Gorman, E. 2025. Forthcoming. Causal Inference . in: Thomas, M., Jules, T., Shields, R. and Schweisfurth, M. (ed.) The Bloomsbury Handbook of Method in Comparative and International Education Bloomsbury.
Chapter title | Causal Inference |
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Authors | Kameshwara, K. and Gorman, E. |
Editors | Thomas, M., Jules, T., Shields, R. and Schweisfurth, M. |
Abstract | All phenomena in the social sciences are shaped by a complex web of variables, and using data to detect patterns and trends in such variables is important. However, particularly for policy analysis, a key challenge is to identify cause and effect relationships – that is, identifying which variables cause or drive the change in others. To identify a potential causal link between variables, the field of causal inference comes to rescue. Causal inference is not a specific statistical method, but a framework which provides the tools and assumptions required to answer causal questions. This chapter takes you through the processes involved in arriving at causal inferences through illustrations from the domain of education research. |
Keywords | Quantitative methods |
causality | |
educational outcomes | |
randomized control trials | |
experimental and quasi-experimental techniques | |
policy | |
grammar schools | |
teaching and learning | |
causal analysis | |
Book title | The Bloomsbury Handbook of Method in Comparative and International Education |
Year | 2025 |
Publisher | Bloomsbury |
Publication dates | |
Published | 20 Feb 2025 |
ISBN | 9781350421257 |
Web address (URL) | https://www.bloomsbury.com/uk/bloomsbury-handbook-of-method-in-comparative-and-international-education-9781350421257/ |
Religious proximity and misinformation: Experimental evidence from a mobile phone-based campaign in India
Armand, Alex, Augsburg, Britta, Bancalari, Antonella and Kameshwara, Kalyan Kumar 2024. Religious proximity and misinformation: Experimental evidence from a mobile phone-based campaign in India. Journal of Health Economics. 96 102883. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2024.102883
Decentralisation in School Management and Student Achievement: Evidence from India
Kameshwara, K., Shields, R. and Sandoval-Hernandez, A. 2024. Decentralisation in School Management and Student Achievement: Evidence from India . The Journal of Development Studies. 60 (1), pp. 67-82. https://doi.org/10.1080/00220388.2023.2273800
Ethnic differences in intergenerational housing mobility in England and Wales
Buscha, F., Gorman, E., Sturgis, P. and Zhang, M. 2023. Ethnic differences in intergenerational housing mobility in England and Wales. Journal of Social Policy. Advanced online publication. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0047279423000570
Education pathways to the labour market for 16-year-olds who struggle to achieve maths and English in General Certificate of Secondary Education
Gorman, E., Thomson, D., Urwin, P. and Zhang, M. 2023. Education pathways to the labour market for 16-year-olds who struggle to achieve maths and English in General Certificate of Secondary Education. ADRUK 2023 Conference. Swansea University. https://doi.org/10.23889/ijpds.v8i2.2306.
Immigrants and School Achievement Levels in the United Kingdom
Kameshwara, K. 2023. Immigrants and School Achievement Levels in the United Kingdom. 2023 AERA Annual Meeting. Chicago, USA 13 - 16 Apr 2023 AERA. https://doi.org/10.3102/ip.23.2010165
A national multiple baseline cohort study of mental health conditions in early adolescence and subsequent educational outcomes in New Zealand
Gorman, E., Bowden, N., Kokaua, J., McNeill, B. and Schluter, P.J. 2023. A national multiple baseline cohort study of mental health conditions in early adolescence and subsequent educational outcomes in New Zealand. Scientific Reports. 13 11025. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-38131-8
Does schooling have lasting effects on cognitive function? Evidence from compulsory schooling laws
Gorman, E. 2023. Does schooling have lasting effects on cognitive function? Evidence from compulsory schooling laws. Demography. 60 (4), pp. 1139-1161. https://doi.org/10.1215/00703370-10875853
Selective schooling and social mobility in England
Buscha, F., Gorman, E. and Sturgis, P. 2023. Selective schooling and social mobility in England. Labour Economics. 81 102336. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.labeco.2023.102336
Social proximity and misinformation: Experimental evidence from a mobile phone-based campaign in India
Armand, A., Augsburg, B., Bancalari, A. and Kameshwara, K. K. 2022. Social proximity and misinformation: Experimental evidence from a mobile phone-based campaign in India. Institute for Fiscal Studies. https://doi.org/10.1920/wp.ifs.2022.1822
Selective Schooling and Returns to Education
Gorman, E. 2022. Selective Schooling and Returns to Education. in: Zimmermann, K.F. (ed.) Handbook of Labor, Human Resources and Population Economics Springer.
Marxism in Comparative and International Education
Shields, R. and Kameshwara, K. 2021. Marxism in Comparative and International Education. in: The Bloomsbury Handbook of Theory in Comparative and International Education Bloomsbury. pp. 53-67
The double pendulum
Shields, R., Swati Banerjee, S., Shajahan, P.K., Singh, G.B., Bista, M.B., Krishna, G., Paudel, M., Singh, A., Sandoval-Hernández, A., Carney, S., Kameshwara, K. and Dhanda, K.R. 2021. The double pendulum. International Journal of Educational Development. 84 102438. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijedudev.2021.102438
Survey Data on the Impact of COVID-19 on Parental Engagement Across 23 Countries
Eliana Maria Osorio Saez, Nurullah Eryilmaz, Andrés Sandoval-Hernández, Yui-yip Lau, Elma Barahona, Adil Anwar Bhatti, Godfried Caesar Ofoe, Leví Astul Castro Ordóñez, Artemio Arturo Cortez Ochoa, Rafael Ángel Espinoza Pizarro, Esther Fonseca Aguilar, Maria Magdalena Isac, K.V. Dhanapala, Kameshwara, K., Ysrael Alberto Martínez Contreras, Geberew Tulu Mekonnen, José Fernando Mejía, Catalina Miranda, Shehe Abdalla Moh'd, Ricardo Morales Ulloa, Kayon Morgan, T Lee Morgan, Sara Mori, Forti Ebenezah Nde, Silvia Panzavolta, Lluís Parcerisa, Carla Leticia Paz, Oscar Picardo, Carolina Piñeros, Pablo Rivera-Vargas, Alessia Rosa, Lina Maria Saldarriaga, Adrián Silveira Aberastury, YM Tang, Kyoko Taniguchi, Ernesto Treviño, Carolina Valladares Celis, Cristóbal Villalobos, Dan Zhao and Allison Zionts 2021. Survey Data on the Impact of COVID-19 on Parental Engagement Across 23 Countries. Data in Brief. 35 106813. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dib.2021.106813
The Research Schools Programme in Opportunity Areas: Investigating the Impact of Research Schools in Promoting Better Outcomes in Schools
Gu, Q., Seymour, K., Rea, S., Knight, R., Ahn, M., Sammons, P., Kameshwara, K. and Hodgen, J. 2021. The Research Schools Programme in Opportunity Areas: Investigating the Impact of Research Schools in Promoting Better Outcomes in Schools. The Education Endowment Foundation.
Countering misinformation with targeted messages: Experimental evidence using mobile phones
Armand, A., Augsburg, B., Bancalari, A. and Kameshwara, K. 2021. Countering misinformation with targeted messages: Experimental evidence using mobile phones. Institute for Fiscal Studies.
Improving cross-cultural comparability: Does school leadership mean the same in different countries?
Eryilmaz, N., Kameshwara, K. and Sandoval-Hernández, A. 2021. Improving cross-cultural comparability: Does school leadership mean the same in different countries? Comparative and International Education Society (CIES) Conference: Social Responsibility within changing contexts. Virtual 25 May - 02 Jun 2021 CIES.
Can head teacher autonomy mitigate the effects of COVID-19 school closures in India?
Moore, R. and Kameshwara, K. 2021. Can head teacher autonomy mitigate the effects of COVID-19 school closures in India? NORRAG Special Issue. 06, pp. 26-31.
Spatial and social mobility in England and Wales: A sub‐national analysis of differences and trends over time
Buscha, F., Gorman, Emma and Sturgis, Patrick 2021. Spatial and social mobility in England and Wales: A sub‐national analysis of differences and trends over time. The British Journal of Sociology. 72 (5), pp. 1378-1393. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-4446.12885
Adolescent School Bullying Victimization and Later Life Outcomes
Gorman, E., Harmon, C., Mendolia, S., Staneva, A. and Walker, I. 2021. Adolescent School Bullying Victimization and Later Life Outcomes. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics. 83 (4), pp. 1048-1076. https://doi.org/10.1111/obes.12432
Heterogeneous effects of missing out on a place at a preferred secondary school in England
Gorman, Emma and Walker, Ian 2021. Heterogeneous effects of missing out on a place at a preferred secondary school in England. Economics of Education Review. 81 102082. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econedurev.2021.102082
Social Justice Perspectives on Education, Skills, and Economic Inequalities
Shields, R. and Kameshwara, K. 2020. Social Justice Perspectives on Education, Skills, and Economic Inequalities. in: Papa, R. (ed.) Handbook on Promoting Social Justice in Education Springer. pp. 1-15
Exploring trends in the relationship between child labour, gender and educational achievement in Latin America
Middel, A., Kameshwara, K. and Sandoval-Hernández, A. 2020. Exploring trends in the relationship between child labour, gender and educational achievement in Latin America. Revista Iberoamericana de Educación. 84 (1), pp. 85-108. https://doi.org/10.35362/rie8413987
Teachers’ Pedagogical Autonomy, Professional Development and Students’ Digital Skills: New Evidence from Italy
Kameshwara, K., Eryilmaz, N., Tian, M. and Sandoval-Hernández, A. 2020. Teachers’ Pedagogical Autonomy, Professional Development and Students’ Digital Skills: New Evidence from Italy. Autonomie Locali e Servizi Sociali. 2, pp. 421-439. https://doi.org/10.1447/98729
A false promise? Decentralization in education systems across the globe
Kameshwara, K., Sandoval-Hernandez, A., Shields, R. and Dhanda, K.R. 2020. A false promise? Decentralization in education systems across the globe. International Journal of Educational Research. 104 101669. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijer.2020.101669
Correcting for non-participation bias in health surveys using record-linkage, synthetic observations and pattern mixture modelling
Gray, L., Gorman, E., White, I. R., Katikireddi, S. V., McCartney, G., Rutherford, L. and Leyland, A. H. 2020. Correcting for non-participation bias in health surveys using record-linkage, synthetic observations and pattern mixture modelling. Statistical Methods in Medical Research. 29 (4), pp. 1212-1226. https://doi.org/10.1177/0962280219854482
Challenging the Conventional Wisdom vis-à-vis Teacher Characteristics: Evidence from Linear Mixed Effects Analysis of Secondary School Survey in India
Kameshwara, K. 2019. Challenging the Conventional Wisdom vis-à-vis Teacher Characteristics: Evidence from Linear Mixed Effects Analysis of Secondary School Survey in India. International Conference on Interdisciplinarity of Knowledge, Education and Research [iKER-2019]. Pilani, India 08 - 09 Feb 2019
Effects of Decentralisation in School Management on Student Learning: Empirical Analysis of Young Lives Survey Data Using Multi-Level Modelling
Shields, R., Kameshwara, K. and Sandoval-Hernández, A. 2019. Effects of Decentralisation in School Management on Student Learning: Empirical Analysis of Young Lives Survey Data Using Multi-Level Modelling. Comparative and International Education Society (CIES) Conference 2019. San Francisco, USA 14 - 18 Apr 2019 CIES.
An Unequal Playing Field: Extra-Curricular Activities, Soft Skills and Social Mobility
Michael Donnelly, Predrag Lažetić, Andrés Sandoval-Hernández, Kameshwara, K. and Samuel Whewall 2019. An Unequal Playing Field: Extra-Curricular Activities, Soft Skills and Social Mobility. Social Mobility Commission.
Assessing Factors that Affect the Labour Market Decisions of Young People aged 16 to 24: Research Informing LPC Review of Youth Rates
Bowyer, A., Cerqua, A., Di Pietro, G., Gorman, E. and Urwin, P. 2019. Assessing Factors that Affect the Labour Market Decisions of Young People aged 16 to 24: Research Informing LPC Review of Youth Rates. https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/research-on-minimum-wage-youth-rates Low Pay Commission.
Validation of non-participation bias methodology based on record-linked Finnish register-based health survey data: a protocol paper
McMinn, M. A., Martikainen, P., Gorman, E., Rissanen, H., Härkänen, T., Tolonen, H., Leyland, A. H. and Gray, L. 2019. Validation of non-participation bias methodology based on record-linked Finnish register-based health survey data: a protocol paper. BMJ Open. 9 (4), p. e026187 e026187. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2018-026187
Towards Social Justice in Institutions of Higher Learning: Addressing Gender Inequality in Science & Technology through Capability Approach
Kameshwara, K. and Shukla, T. 2017. Towards Social Justice in Institutions of Higher Learning: Addressing Gender Inequality in Science & Technology through Capability Approach. Administrative Sciences. 7 (3) 22. https://doi.org/10.3390/admsci7030022
Adjustment for survey non‐representativeness using record‐linkage: refined estimates of alcohol consumption by deprivation in Scotland
Gorman, E., Leyland, A. H., McCartney, G., Katikireddi, S. V., Rutherford, L., Graham, L., Robinson, M. and Gray, L. 2017. Adjustment for survey non‐representativeness using record‐linkage: refined estimates of alcohol consumption by deprivation in Scotland. Addiction. 112 (7), pp. 1270-1280. https://doi.org/10.1111/add.13797
Role of Socio-Economic Inequality in Learning Outcomes of Youth
Kameshwara, K. 2016. Role of Socio-Economic Inequality in Learning Outcomes of Youth. Young Scholars’ Conference 2016. South Asian University, New Delhi, India 20 - 21 Oct 2016
Education Outcomes & Child’s Work: A Case Study of Children in Slum
Kameshwara, K. and Shukla, T. 2016. Education Outcomes & Child’s Work: A Case Study of Children in Slum. Educational Quest: An International Journal of Education and Applied Social Sciences. 7 (2), pp. 117-124. https://doi.org/10.5958/2230-7311.2016.00028.3
Envisioning a Road to Social Justice: Addressing Gender Inequality in Science & Technology through Capability Approach
Shukla, T. and Kameshwara, K. 2016. Envisioning a Road to Social Justice: Addressing Gender Inequality in Science & Technology through Capability Approach. 2nd World Conference on Women’s Studies 2016. Colombo, Sri Lanka 05 - 06 May 2016
Dynamic Constructs and Static Gender: Constructing Higher Education by Deconstructing Well-Being
Shukla, T. and Kameshwara, K. 2015. Dynamic Constructs and Static Gender: Constructing Higher Education by Deconstructing Well-Being. in: Dubey, A. and Shukla, A. (ed.) Mental Health: Psycho-Social Perspectives (Volume 2: Multi Group Analysis) Concept Publishing Company. pp. 231-247
Assessing the Representativeness of Population-Sampled Health Surveys Through Linkage to Administrative Data on Alcohol-Related Outcomes
Gorman, E., Leyland, A. H., McCartney, G., White, I. R., Katikireddi, S. V., Rutherford, L., Graham, L. and Gray, L. 2014. Assessing the Representativeness of Population-Sampled Health Surveys Through Linkage to Administrative Data on Alcohol-Related Outcomes. American Journal of Epidemiology. 180 (9), pp. 941-948. https://doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwu207
Use of record-linkage to handle non-response and improve alcohol consumption estimates in health survey data: a study protocol
Gray, L., McCartney, G., White, I. R., Katikireddi, S. V., Rutherford, L., Gorman, E. and Leyland, A. H. 2013. Use of record-linkage to handle non-response and improve alcohol consumption estimates in health survey data: a study protocol . BMJ Open. 3 (3), p. BMJ Open 2013;3:e002647 e002647. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2013-002647
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