Orochi impact formula: An evidence-based approach for quantifying the societal harm of County Lines drug supply

Dando, C.J., Milne, R., Jones, A. and Harvey, N. 2024. Orochi impact formula: An evidence-based approach for quantifying the societal harm of County Lines drug supply. The Police Journal: Theory, Practice and Principles. Advanced online publication. https://doi.org/10.1177/0032258X241239017

TitleOrochi impact formula: An evidence-based approach for quantifying the societal harm of County Lines drug supply
TypeJournal article
AuthorsDando, C.J., Milne, R., Jones, A. and Harvey, N.
Abstract

The County Lines (CL) drug supply model is a rapidly increasing threat. Metropolitan Police Specialist Crime have developed a statistical formula, referred to as ‘Orochi impact formula’ for conservatively quantifying the quantity and monetary value of drugs sold per line. The novel formula, which uses known average daily consumption rates of Class A drug and customer demand telephony data, conservatively indicates deal line trade, systematically differentiating between deal lines to quantify the relative impact of each.
This evidence-based approach has potential for supporting (i) prosecution of line holders, (ii) determining sentencing deterrents, and (iii) wider public information and knowledge exchange.

KeywordsCounty Lines
Orochi impact formula
societal impact
Class A drugs
telephony data
JournalThe Police Journal: Theory, Practice and Principles
ISSN0032-258X
1740-5599
Year2024
PublisherSage
Publisher's version
License
CC BY-NC 4.0
File Access Level
Open (open metadata and files)
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)https://doi.org/10.1177/0032258X241239017
Publication dates
Published online13 Mar 2024
FunderHome Office

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